Main Event Brief
Updated Jul 27
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Jafel Filho 1.9 SLpM, Lucas Rocha 5.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Jafel Filho 41%, Lucas Rocha 49%
  • Damage Avoidance: Jafel Filho 1.6 abs/min, Lucas Rocha 3.7 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Jafel Filho 45%, Lucas Rocha 75%
  • Takedown Defense: Jafel Filho 66%, Lucas Rocha 76%
  • Submission Threat: Jafel Filho 2.2 per 15m, Lucas Rocha —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jafel Filho
Lucas Rocha

Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jafel Filho
3-3UFC Record
Sub (67%)
Losses (33%)
Lucas Rocha
1-1UFC Record
Decision (67%)
Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%
Grappling Efficiency59%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%
Grappling Efficiency75%
Takedown Defense76%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Jafel Filho
Lucas Rocha

From opening bell, Jafel Filho can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.9 significant strikes per minute while Lucas Rocha looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha Stats Comparison

Age
33
25
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
5'3" (160 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
68" (173 cm)
64" (163 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.2 significant strikes/min

Lucas Rocha averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Jafel Filho sits at 1.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Filho vs Rocha odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

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