UFC Fight Night
Aug 1, 2026In 11 daysBelgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Josias Musasa 3.2 SLpM, Mark Vologdin 7.8 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Josias Musasa 45%, Mark Vologdin 52%
  • Damage Avoidance: Josias Musasa 4.4 abs/min, Mark Vologdin 11.0 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Josias Musasa 50%, Mark Vologdin —
  • Takedown Defense: Josias Musasa 81%, Mark Vologdin 57%
  • Submission Threat: Josias Musasa 0.5 per 15m, Mark Vologdin —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Josias Musasa
Mark Vologdin

Josias Musasa vs Mark Vologdin AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Josias Musasa vs Mark Vologdin

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Josias Musasa
0-2UFC Record
Losses (100%)
Mark Vologdin
1-0UFC Record
Decision (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense81%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense57%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Josias Musasa
Mark Vologdin

This bantamweight scrap in Belgrade is all about two guys trying to shake off rough UFC starts. Vologdin just fought in April, going to a majority draw with John Castaneda in a wild back and forth where he threw over 200 strikes. Musasa? He's had a brutal welcome to the Octagon, dropping two straight including a nasty rear naked choke loss to Carlos Vera in just over three minutes. The matchup itself is interesting as hell.

Key Storylines
  • Vologdin's massive volume against Musasa's knockout power
  • Two fighters hunting their first UFC victory
  • Southpaw angles versus orthodox pressure and pace
Finishing Window

If Musasa's going to land that KO, it happens early before Vologdin drowns him in volume.

Vologdin's an orthodox fighter who loves to let his hands go, landing 96 strikes in that Castaneda fight even though he only connected on 43 percent. Musasa, fighting southpaw out of the Democratic Republic of Congo, has shown decent striking accuracy at 53 percent but got caught cold by Vera's grappling. That nickname 'The KO Wizard' hasn't shown up yet in the UFC, and he needs it to appear fast. Here's the thing about Vologdin: dude has cardio for days and isn't afraid to get into a firefight. He threw 222 strikes across three rounds last time out.

Musasa's gotta be careful not to get dragged into that kind of pace, especially coming off two losses where the pressure clearly got to him. The southpaw angle could give Vologdin some problems early, but if this turns into a volume war, that favors the guy who just went 15 minutes throwing heat. Both guys are desperate for that first UFC win. Someone's 0 has got to go in Serbia, and you know they're both feeling that pressure.

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Josias Musasa vs Mark Vologdin Stats Comparison

Age
27
26
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'3" (160 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
65" (165 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Josias Musasa vs Mark Vologdin AI Analysis

Pace delta

+4.6 significant strikes/min

Mark Vologdin averages 7.8 significant strikes per minute while Josias Musasa sits at 3.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Josias Musasa and Mark Vologdin, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Josias Musasa vs Mark Vologdin.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Musasa vs Vologdin odds

Live Polymarket odds for Josias Musasa vs Mark Vologdin are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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