UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Feb 28, 2026Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Cristian Quinonez 3.7 SLpM, Kris Moutinho 3.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Cristian Quinonez 43%, Kris Moutinho 33%
  • Damage Avoidance: Cristian Quinonez 3.7 abs/min, Kris Moutinho 9.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Cristian Quinonez 55%, Kris Moutinho —
  • Takedown Defense: Cristian Quinonez 85%, Kris Moutinho 30%
  • Submission Threat: Cristian Quinonez 0.6 per 15m, Kris Moutinho —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Cristian Quinonez
Kris Moutinho

Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Cristian Quinonez
2-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (33%)
Decision (33%)
Losses (33%)
Kris Moutinho
0-4UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency55%
Takedown Defense85%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense30%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Cristian Quinonez
Kris Moutinho

From opening bell, Cristian Quinonez can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Kris Moutinho looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho Stats Comparison

Age
30
34
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Cristian Quinonez averages 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Kris Moutinho sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Cristian Quinonez and Kris Moutinho, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Quinonez vs Moutinho odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Quinonez vs Moutinho

Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho is on the UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh card on Feb 28, 2026 at Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Quinonez vs Moutinho: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho Prediction: AI Pick & UFC Odds | AgentMMA