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UFC Fight Night
Oct 31, 2026• In 3 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Jacobe Smith 6.9 SLpM, Randy Brown 4.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Jacobe Smith 67%, Randy Brown 47%
  • Damage Avoidance: Jacobe Smith 2.8 abs/min, Randy Brown 3.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Jacobe Smith 85%, Randy Brown 39%
  • Takedown Defense: Jacobe Smith 100%, Randy Brown 73%
  • Submission Threat: Jacobe Smith 0.7 per 15m, Randy Brown 0.6 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jacobe Smith
Randy Brown

Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jacobe Smith
4-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (75%)
Sub (25%)
Randy Brown
14-8UFC Record
KO/TKO (21%)
Sub (16%)
Decision (37%)
Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy67%
Grappling Efficiency90%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ95%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense73%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Jacobe Smith
Randy Brown
Betting odds

Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown sportsbook odds

Jacobe Smith is the betting favourite at -260 (1.38), with Randy Brown priced at +216 (3.16). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Jacobe Smith

FavouriteImplied 72.2%Line shortening
-2601.38

Randy Brown

Implied 31.6%Line drifting
+2163.16

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Jacobe Smith just put Bruce Whitehead away with ground punches in round 1, and now he is jumping straight back in against Randy Brown on short notice. Carlos Leal's injury opened the spot, giving this fight a fresh twist without much time for either man to adjust. An unbeaten finisher against a veteran looking to stop a skid is plenty to get fans talking. Brown has dropped his last two outings, first to Gabriel Bonfim and then to Kevin Holland by unanimous decision.

Key Storylines
  • Smith jumps back in on short notice after another ground finish
  • Brown needs a reset after losses to Bonfim and Holland
  • Brown's long reach meets a southpaw who makes close range dangerous
Finishing Window

The opening round is the likeliest flashpoint, while Smith tries to close the gap and Brown has to establish space before the exchanges settle.

Bonfim caught him with a knee to the head in the clinch in round 2, but Brown's round 2 stoppage of Nicolas Dalby with a punch at distance is a reminder of the danger he brings. Smith's recent ground finishes make that distance battle especially interesting. Here's the thing: Brown has a 78 inch reach against Smith's 72, and the orthodox versus southpaw matchup makes the lead foot battle worth watching. Brown needs room to land and reset, while Smith needs to get through that space without walking onto clean shots.

Once they tie up, Brown has to protect himself in the clinch, and Smith has to turn close contact into useful work. The question is whether Brown can make this feel like his kind of fight before Smith finds his rhythm. Smith has momentum, but accepting the replacement spot leaves little time to prepare specifically for Brown.

Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown Stats Comparison

Age
30
•
36
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
•
6'3" (191 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
•
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
•
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.4 significant strikes/min

Jacobe Smith averages 6.9 significant strikes per minute while Randy Brown sits at 4.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Jacobe Smith
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record4-0-04-0-0
Wins inside the distance4 (100%)4 (100%)
KO/TKO wins33
Submission wins11
Average fight time3:423:42
Total strikes landed per min9.529.52
Takedowns landed per 15 min5.065.06
Control time per 15 min6:496:49
Randy Brown
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record2-3-014-8-0
Wins inside the distance1 (50%)7 (50%)
KO/TKO wins14
Submission wins03
Average fight time11:4010:31
Total strikes landed per min5.615.25
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.510.71
Control time per 15 min1:212:23

UFC bouts only, as of October 28, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Jacobe Smith 4/4, Randy Brown 22/22.

Jacobe Smith and Randy Brown: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

OpponentJacobe SmithRandy Brown
Niko PriceWin Submission, R2 · Jun 2025Loss KO/TKO, R2 · Jul 2018

Jacobe Smith: last 5 UFC fights

  1. WinBruce WhiteheadKO/TKO, R1· UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Oct 2026
  2. WinJosiah HarrellKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 2026
  3. WinNiko PriceSubmission, R2· UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 2025
  4. WinPreston ParsonsKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 2025

Randy Brown: last 5 UFC fights

  1. LossKevin HollandDecision – Unanimous· UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Apr 2026
  2. LossGabriel BonfimKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 2025
  3. WinNicolas DalbyKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 2025
  4. LossBryan BattleDecision – Split· UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 2024
  5. WinElizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision – Unanimous· UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 2024

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jacobe Smith and Randy Brown, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Smith vs Brown odds

Live Polymarket odds for Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Smith vs Brown

Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown is on the UFC Fight Night card on Oct 31, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

Smith vs Brown is on the main card, starting at Sat 8:00 PM (New York) / Sun 12:00 AM (London).

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Smith vs Brown: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events