Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

May 9, 2026Newark, New Jersey, USA

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Jose Ochoa

Record: 9-2-0

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Clayton Carpenter

Record: 8-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jose Ochoa

Clayton Carpenter

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jose Ochoa

Clayton Carpenter

Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jose Ochoa

KO/TKO (33%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (33%)

Clayton Carpenter

Sub (63%)

Losses (38%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense59%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%

Grappling Efficiency59%

Takedown Defense37%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Jose Ochoa

Clayton Carpenter

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From opening bell, Jose Ochoa can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.0 significant strikes per minute while Clayton Carpenter looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:1

Jose Ochoa

Jose Ochoa finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (33%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (33%)

Jose Ochoa breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense59%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Jose Ochoa's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Clayton Carpenter must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Jose Ochoa brings the more polished entries (50%) while Clayton Carpenter relies on defensive frames (37%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Clayton Carpenter

Clayton Carpenter finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (63%)

Losses (38%)

Clayton Carpenter breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%

Grappling Efficiency59%

Takedown Defense37%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Clayton Carpenter's recent form

Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'6" (168 cm)

Weight

125 lbs (57 kg)

•

125 lbs (57 kg)

Reach

67" (170 cm)

•

66" (168 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.7 significant strikes/min

Clayton Carpenter averages 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Jose Ochoa sits at 3.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jose Ochoa and Clayton Carpenter, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Ochoa vs Carpenter odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Ochoa vs Carpenter

Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter is on the UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland card on May 9, 2026 at Newark, New Jersey, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Ochoa vs Carpenter: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.