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UFC Record Breakdown
Roman Kopylov's been in a rough spot lately, dropping back to back decisions against Gregory Rodrigues and Paulo Costa after that sick head kick finish of Chris Curtis in January 2025. The Russian southpaw's got serious power, but he's been figuring out life against the division's elite. Marco Tulio, though? Dude's been on a tear with two straight knockouts. He flatlined Ihor Potieria in under three minutes back in January, then slept Tresean Gore in April before Christian Leroy Duncan caught him with a punch in November.
Expect fireworks in round two when both guys have their timing locked in but the gas tank's still full.
The Brazilian brings that Chute Boxe aggression, always hunting for the finish. Here's what makes this one interesting. Kopylov's southpaw stance and kickboxing background give him range and angles, but Tulio's orthodox pressure could force some wild exchanges. Both guys have proven they can crack, and neither one's looking to play it safe. Kopylov needs this win badly after those losses, while Tulio's trying to bounce back from that Duncan knockout and prove he belongs in the rankings conversation.
The technical battle comes down to whether Kopylov can use his movement and keep Tulio at the end of his kicks, or if the Brazilian can close distance and turn it into a phone booth war. Tulio showed decent wrestling against Duncan with those two takedowns, which could be a wrinkle Kopylov hasn't dealt with much lately. This feels like a fight where someone's getting hurt.
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Marco Tulio breakdown
Marco Tulio's recent form
Roman Kopylov's been in a rough spot lately, dropping back to back decisions against Gregory Rodrigues and Paulo Costa after that sick head kick finish of Chris Curtis in January 2025. The Russian southpaw's got serious power, but he's been figuring out life against the division's elite. Marco Tulio, though? Dude's been on a tear with two straight knockouts. He flatlined Ihor Potieria in under three minutes back in January, then slept Tresean Gore in April before Christian Leroy Duncan caught him with a punch in November.
Expect fireworks in round two when both guys have their timing locked in but the gas tank's still full.
The Brazilian brings that Chute Boxe aggression, always hunting for the finish. Here's what makes this one interesting. Kopylov's southpaw stance and kickboxing background give him range and angles, but Tulio's orthodox pressure could force some wild exchanges. Both guys have proven they can crack, and neither one's looking to play it safe. Kopylov needs this win badly after those losses, while Tulio's trying to bounce back from that Duncan knockout and prove he belongs in the rankings conversation.
The technical battle comes down to whether Kopylov can use his movement and keep Tulio at the end of his kicks, or if the Brazilian can close distance and turn it into a phone booth war. Tulio showed decent wrestling against Duncan with those two takedowns, which could be a wrinkle Kopylov hasn't dealt with much lately. This feels like a fight where someone's getting hurt.
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Roman Kopylov breakdown
Roman Kopylov's recent form
Pace delta
+2.0 significant strikes/min
Marco Tulio averages 6.7 significant strikes per minute while Roman Kopylov sits at 4.7.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Marco Tulio vs Roman Kopylov odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
