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UFC Record Breakdown
Chase Hooper is walking into Oklahoma City trying to shake off two brutal knockout losses that have everyone wondering if the grappling wizard can still hang at lightweight. The Dream got slept by Alexander Hernandez in under five minutes at UFC 319, then ate knees from Lance Gibson Jr. in the first round just a couple months ago. That's rough. But here's the thing, before those back to back KOs, Hooper was on fire with three straight finishes, including that slick armbar over Clay Guida and a nasty D'Arce choke against Viacheslav Borshchev where he landed 129 strikes and controlled over six minutes of cage time. Mitch Ramirez comes in with his own knockout problems.
If Hooper survives the early exchanges, expect him to hunt for a submission in rounds one or two before his chin gets tested again.
Mike Davis stopped him with punches in round two last July, and before that, Thiago Moises finished him with a leg kick in the third round. Ramirez has been finished in both his UFC appearances, so neither guy is exactly riding high right now. This feels like a must win situation for both dudes. The matchup is pretty clear cut. Hooper is a southpaw submission artist who wants to drag this to the mat and hunt for limbs.
When he gets you down, he's dangerous as hell with that jiu jitsu. Ramirez is an orthodox striker who needs to keep this standing and make Hooper pay before the grappling takes over. The question is whether Hooper's chin can hold up long enough to get his game going, or if we're about to see him get knocked out for the third straight time.
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Chase Hooper breakdown
Chase Hooper's recent form
Chase Hooper is walking into Oklahoma City trying to shake off two brutal knockout losses that have everyone wondering if the grappling wizard can still hang at lightweight. The Dream got slept by Alexander Hernandez in under five minutes at UFC 319, then ate knees from Lance Gibson Jr. in the first round just a couple months ago. That's rough. But here's the thing, before those back to back KOs, Hooper was on fire with three straight finishes, including that slick armbar over Clay Guida and a nasty D'Arce choke against Viacheslav Borshchev where he landed 129 strikes and controlled over six minutes of cage time. Mitch Ramirez comes in with his own knockout problems.
If Hooper survives the early exchanges, expect him to hunt for a submission in rounds one or two before his chin gets tested again.
Mike Davis stopped him with punches in round two last July, and before that, Thiago Moises finished him with a leg kick in the third round. Ramirez has been finished in both his UFC appearances, so neither guy is exactly riding high right now. This feels like a must win situation for both dudes. The matchup is pretty clear cut. Hooper is a southpaw submission artist who wants to drag this to the mat and hunt for limbs.
When he gets you down, he's dangerous as hell with that jiu jitsu. Ramirez is an orthodox striker who needs to keep this standing and make Hooper pay before the grappling takes over. The question is whether Hooper's chin can hold up long enough to get his game going, or if we're about to see him get knocked out for the third straight time.
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Mitch Ramirez breakdown
Mitch Ramirez's recent form
Pace delta
+2.1 significant strikes/min
Chase Hooper averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Mitch Ramirez sits at 2.4.
AI confidence
94%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
