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UFC Record Breakdown
The UFC is bringing back a legend. Kyoji Horiguchi returns to the Octagon after nearly a decade away to headline UFC Vegas 119 against Manel Kape on June 20th. Horiguchi hasn't fought in the UFC since 2016, when he was piecing people up with slick karate and nasty grappling. Meanwhile, Kape is on an absolute tear right now, coming off three straight knockouts including that brutal finish of Brandon Royval in December where he put him away with ground and pound in the first round. This is a wild stylistic clash.
Kape's been getting finishes in round three lately, but if Horiguchi's timing is off early, this could end violently in the first two rounds.
Horiguchi's last UFC run showed he's a complete fighter, mixing crisp striking with solid wrestling. He beat Ali Bagautinov and Neil Seery with his technical game, landing takedowns and controlling fights. But Kape has been a different animal lately. He knocked out Bruno Silva, finished Asu Almabayev in round three, and has been hunting finishes with scary power. The Angolan southpaw is landing at 52 to 66 percent and putting people away when he connects.
The big question is ring rust. Horiguchi has been competing outside the UFC, but stepping back into that Octagon after all this time against a guy who's finishing top contenders? That's a massive test. Kape's momentum is real, and he's shown he can crack anyone at flyweight. But Horiguchi's experience and well rounded game could give Kape problems if he can shake off the rust and get back to his old form.
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Kyoji Horiguchi finish map
Kyoji Horiguchi breakdown
Kyoji Horiguchi's recent form
The UFC is bringing back a legend. Kyoji Horiguchi returns to the Octagon after nearly a decade away to headline UFC Vegas 119 against Manel Kape on June 20th. Horiguchi hasn't fought in the UFC since 2016, when he was piecing people up with slick karate and nasty grappling. Meanwhile, Kape is on an absolute tear right now, coming off three straight knockouts including that brutal finish of Brandon Royval in December where he put him away with ground and pound in the first round. This is a wild stylistic clash.
Kape's been getting finishes in round three lately, but if Horiguchi's timing is off early, this could end violently in the first two rounds.
Horiguchi's last UFC run showed he's a complete fighter, mixing crisp striking with solid wrestling. He beat Ali Bagautinov and Neil Seery with his technical game, landing takedowns and controlling fights. But Kape has been a different animal lately. He knocked out Bruno Silva, finished Asu Almabayev in round three, and has been hunting finishes with scary power. The Angolan southpaw is landing at 52 to 66 percent and putting people away when he connects.
The big question is ring rust. Horiguchi has been competing outside the UFC, but stepping back into that Octagon after all this time against a guy who's finishing top contenders? That's a massive test. Kape's momentum is real, and he's shown he can crack anyone at flyweight. But Horiguchi's experience and well rounded game could give Kape problems if he can shake off the rust and get back to his old form.
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Unlock full analysisTagir Ulanbekov finish map
Tagir Ulanbekov breakdown
Tagir Ulanbekov's recent form
Pace delta
+0.8 significant strikes/min
Kyoji Horiguchi averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Tagir Ulanbekov sits at 3.0.
AI confidence
83%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Kyoji Horiguchi vs Tagir Ulanbekov odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
