UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Jul 18, 2026Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA
Back to articles

Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Jared Cannonier 4.3 SLpM, Christian Duncan 4.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Jared Cannonier 49%, Christian Duncan 57%
  • Damage Avoidance: Jared Cannonier 4.4 abs/min, Christian Duncan 2.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Jared Cannonier 45%, Christian Duncan 20%
  • Takedown Defense: Jared Cannonier 64%, Christian Duncan 57%
  • Submission Threat: Jared Cannonier —, Christian Duncan —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jared Cannonier
Christian Duncan

Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jared Cannonier
11-10UFC Record
KO/TKO (43%)
Decision (25%)
Losses (32%)
Christian Duncan
8-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (52%)
Decision (31%)
Losses (17%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense64%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense57%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Jared Cannonier
Christian Duncan

Jared Cannonier is trying to claw his way back after a rough stretch, and Christian Leroy Duncan is the young gun standing in his way. The Killa Gorilla has dropped three of his last four, including that brutal knockout loss to Nassourdine Imavov back in June 2024. But here's the thing, he bounced back with a nasty fourth round TKO over Gregory Rodrigues in February 2025, landing 109 strikes and showing he's still got that power. Then Michael Page outpointed him in August, so now Cannonier needs this one bad. Fun fact: Cannonier and Conor McGregor are the only fighters to have KO/TKO wins in three different UFC weight classes, so the pedigree is real. Duncan is on a completely different trajectory. CLD has rattled off four straight wins, including a decision over Roman Dolidze in March 2026 that turned heads.

Key Storylines
  • Cannonier desperate to stop the slide after recent losses
  • Duncan riding four fight win streak with three finishes
  • Veteran power meeting young hungry striker on the rise
Finishing Window

If Cannonier's gonna land that bomb, it's coming in the first two rounds before Duncan's pace takes over.

Before that, he starched Eryk Anders in under four minutes and knocked out Marco Tulio in the second round. The English fighter is 62% accurate with his striking and has been finishing dudes left and right. He's young, hungry, and riding serious momentum into Oklahoma City. This is a classic veteran power vs. rising momentum fight. Cannonier still hits like a truck and has that switch stance game that can confuse guys, but he's 42 now and the miles are showing. Duncan is slick, confident, and fighting with zero pressure. If Cannonier can't land something big early, Duncan's volume and pace could be a real problem.

The question everyone's asking is whether The Killa Gorilla has one more run in him or if CLD is about to announce himself as a real contender. The betting lines tell an interesting story here. Cannonier opened as a +260 underdog with Duncan sitting at a hefty -330 favorite, continuing a brutal trend for The Killa Gorilla. He hasn't been favored in a UFC fight since 2022, entering each of his last six bouts as the underdog. That's a tough pill to swallow for a guy who's been in title eliminators before, but it also means he's got nothing to lose and everything to prove on July 18.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan Stats Comparison

Age
42
31
Height
5'11" (180 cm)
6'2" (188 cm)
Weight
185 lbs (84 kg)
185 lbs (84 kg)
Reach
77" (196 cm)
79" (201 cm)
Stance
Switch
Switch
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.2 significant strikes/min

Christian Duncan averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Jared Cannonier sits at 4.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jared Cannonier and Christian Duncan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Model score and full reasoning inside

Cannonier vs Duncan odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Cannonier vs Duncan

Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan is on the UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman card on Jul 18, 2026 at Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Cannonier vs Duncan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events

Jared Cannonier vs Christian Duncan Prediction: AI Pick & UFC Odds | AgentMMA