AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.


Jean Matsumoto just pulled off one of the gutsiest wins you'll see when he took a split decision over Miles Johns back in August. That's a legit test right there. Johns is no joke, and Matsumoto found a way to get it done. Before that though, he had that tough split loss to Rob Font in February where he actually landed 113 strikes and hit 7 takedowns. The dude can scrap and he's not afraid to mix it up. Farid Basharat is rolling into this thing on a serious streak. Five straight UFC wins, including that unanimous decision over Chris Gutierrez in October at UFC 320.
That's a big name to have on your resume. Before that, he handled Victor Hugo at UFC 308 in Abu Dhabi, and remember when he choked out Kleydson Rodrigues in the first round back in Paris? That arm triangle was nasty. Here's what makes this interesting. Matsumoto showed against Font he can push a pace with volume striking and wrestling, hitting 70% of his takedowns in that fight. But Basharat is slick everywhere. He's got submissions in his back pocket and he's been controlling guys for serious time.
Against Taylor Lapilus, he racked up almost 7 minutes of control time. That's suffocating. Both guys are Orthodox, both are hungry to climb, and both just beat quality opponents. Matsumoto needs to prove that Johns win wasn't a fluke. Basharat wants to show he's ready for the top ten. Someone's streak is ending Saturday night.
UFC Record Breakdown
If this hits the ground in rounds two or three, that's when Basharat's control game could take over, but Matsumoto's shown he can survive deep water.

Farid Basharat finish map

Farid Basharat breakdown
Jean Matsumoto just pulled off one of the gutsiest wins you'll see when he took a split decision over Miles Johns back in August. That's a legit test right there. Johns is no joke, and Matsumoto found a way to get it done. Before that though, he had that tough split loss to Rob Font in February where he actually landed 113 strikes and hit 7 takedowns. The dude can scrap and he's not afraid to mix it up. Farid Basharat is rolling into this thing on a serious streak. Five straight UFC wins, including that unanimous decision over Chris Gutierrez in October at UFC 320.
That's a big name to have on your resume. Before that, he handled Victor Hugo at UFC 308 in Abu Dhabi, and remember when he choked out Kleydson Rodrigues in the first round back in Paris? That arm triangle was nasty. Here's what makes this interesting. Matsumoto showed against Font he can push a pace with volume striking and wrestling, hitting 70% of his takedowns in that fight. But Basharat is slick everywhere. He's got submissions in his back pocket and he's been controlling guys for serious time.
Against Taylor Lapilus, he racked up almost 7 minutes of control time. That's suffocating. Both guys are Orthodox, both are hungry to climb, and both just beat quality opponents. Matsumoto needs to prove that Johns win wasn't a fluke. Basharat wants to show he's ready for the top ten. Someone's streak is ending Saturday night.
If this hits the ground in rounds two or three, that's when Basharat's control game could take over, but Matsumoto's shown he can survive deep water.

Jean Matsumoto finish map

Jean Matsumoto breakdown
Pace delta
+1.4 significant strikes/min
Jean Matsumoto averages 5.4 significant strikes per minute while Farid Basharat sits at 4.0.
AI confidence
87%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events
UFC 325 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 326 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 324 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 324 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight