Mitch RaposovsAllan Nascimento

When you go back to early 2023, remember when he caught Carlos Hernandez with that rear naked choke in the first round? Dude's dangerous whenever the fight hits the mat. He's won three of his last four, with that lone loss coming via split decision to Tagir Ulanbekov back in 2021. Here's the thing about this fight. Raposo switches stances and has shown decent wrestling, hitting 6 takedowns against Sumudaerji, but his finishing rate is nonexistent in the UFC.

Nascimento is the exact opposite. He's hunting for submissions every time he gets top position, and that anaconda choke he hit on Durden showed he's got creative ways to finish. If Raposo can keep this standing and use his movement, he's got a path. But one scramble gone wrong and he could be fighting off a choke.