AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Two Brazilian flyweights are ready to throw down in Vegas, and this one's got some history. Dione Barbosa is coming off a tough loss to Karine Silva back at UFC 319 in Chicago this past August, where she got outworked over three rounds in a unanimous decision. Before that though, "The Witch" looked nasty submitting Diana Belbita with an arm triangle in the first round. She's got that Kings MMA grappling pedigree and knows how to finish fights when she gets on top. Melissa Gatto brings a different kind of danger to this matchup. Remember that body shot knockout against Tamires Vidal back in May 2024?
If Barbosa can't get it to the ground early, Gatto's body work becomes a serious problem in rounds two and three.
Gatto walked her down in the third round and just crumpled her with a punch to the body. That's the kind of power that makes you think twice about standing in the pocket with her. She's had some tough nights too, dropping decisions to Ariane Lipski and Tracy Cortez, but when she's on, she can crack. The matchup here is interesting because both women are orthodox, both from Brazil, but they bring totally different threats. Barbosa wants to get this fight to the mat where she can work her submission game. She hit 75% of her takedowns against Silva and controlled over five minutes of that fight.
Gatto's got that knockout power and body work that can end things suddenly. She's proven she can go three rounds and grind, but she's at her best when she's hunting for the finish. This is a huge fight for both women trying to climb back into contention at 125 pounds. Barbosa needs to bounce back after that Silva loss, and Gatto's looking to build on that knockout momentum she showed in 2024.
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Dione Barbosa breakdown
Dione Barbosa's recent form
Two Brazilian flyweights are ready to throw down in Vegas, and this one's got some history. Dione Barbosa is coming off a tough loss to Karine Silva back at UFC 319 in Chicago this past August, where she got outworked over three rounds in a unanimous decision. Before that though, "The Witch" looked nasty submitting Diana Belbita with an arm triangle in the first round. She's got that Kings MMA grappling pedigree and knows how to finish fights when she gets on top. Melissa Gatto brings a different kind of danger to this matchup. Remember that body shot knockout against Tamires Vidal back in May 2024?
If Barbosa can't get it to the ground early, Gatto's body work becomes a serious problem in rounds two and three.
Gatto walked her down in the third round and just crumpled her with a punch to the body. That's the kind of power that makes you think twice about standing in the pocket with her. She's had some tough nights too, dropping decisions to Ariane Lipski and Tracy Cortez, but when she's on, she can crack. The matchup here is interesting because both women are orthodox, both from Brazil, but they bring totally different threats. Barbosa wants to get this fight to the mat where she can work her submission game. She hit 75% of her takedowns against Silva and controlled over five minutes of that fight.
Gatto's got that knockout power and body work that can end things suddenly. She's proven she can go three rounds and grind, but she's at her best when she's hunting for the finish. This is a huge fight for both women trying to climb back into contention at 125 pounds. Barbosa needs to bounce back after that Silva loss, and Gatto's looking to build on that knockout momentum she showed in 2024.
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Melissa Gatto finish map

Melissa Gatto breakdown
Melissa Gatto's recent form
Pace delta
+1.5 significant strikes/min
Melissa Gatto averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Dione Barbosa sits at 2.3.
AI confidence
82%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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