Original research by AgentMMA

MMA Lab

Data-driven research on how fights are really won. Every study is grounded in real bout data and peer-reviewed sport science — no hot takes.

Which UFC Stats Actually Predict Wins? What Data Says
statistics

Which UFC Stats Actually Predict Wins? What Data Says

Which UFC stats predict wins? See what completed-fight studies and a 327-bout pre-fight test reveal about striking, grappling, accuracy and model limits.

Oscar Nascimento
UFC Immediate Rematch Win Rate: Do Winners Repeat?
statistics

UFC Immediate Rematch Win Rate: Do Winners Repeat?

The UFC immediate rematch win rate favors prior winners in 11 of 16 decided title runbacks. See the 17-fight record, wider data, and key limits.

Oscar Nascimento
What Wins a UFC Round? UFC Judging Criteria Explained
judging

What Wins a UFC Round? UFC Judging Criteria Explained

UFC judging criteria reward damage through effective striking and grappling first. See how takedowns, control time, 10-8 rounds and scorecards work.

Oscar Nascimento
Southpaw vs Orthodox in UFC: Is There a Real Advantage?
stances

Southpaw vs Orthodox in UFC: Is There a Real Advantage?

Southpaw vs orthodox UFC data shows a possible small edge, not a winning rule. Compare three studies, stance rates, matchup limits and model use.

Oscar Nascimento
How Often Do UFC Betting Favorites Win? What the Data Says
betting

How Often Do UFC Betting Favorites Win? What the Data Says

UFC betting favorites win about two-thirds of fights, but the rate rises by implied probability. See the data, odds math, profit gap and limits.

Oscar Nascimento
How Often Do Short-Notice UFC Replacements Win? The Data
statistics

How Often Do Short-Notice UFC Replacements Win? The Data

Short-notice UFC replacements win roughly four in 10 fights in public audits. See the real samples, title-fight results, and key data limits.

Oscar Nascimento
Does UFC Ring Rust Exist? What Long-Layoff Data Shows
ring-rust

Does UFC Ring Rust Exist? What Long-Layoff Data Shows

Does UFC ring rust exist? A 5,975-fight study shows when long layoffs start to matter, why active opponents change the signal, and where the data fails.

Oscar Nascimento
Do UFC Fighters Who Miss Weight Win More Often? What Data Says
weight-cutting

Do UFC Fighters Who Miss Weight Win More Often? What Data Says

Do UFC fighters who miss weight win more often? UFC audits show why raw win rates, favorite status and fight-night size point to no stable advantage.

Oscar Nascimento
What Age Do UFC Fighters Peak? Data by Weight Class
age

What Age Do UFC Fighters Peak? Data by Weight Class

What age do UFC fighters peak? A 2,229-bout study shows how age relates to UFC wins and why the answer varies across weight classes and fighter careers.

Oscar Nascimento
Does Reach Advantage Matter in UFC Fights? What Data Says
reach

Does Reach Advantage Matter in UFC Fights? What Data Says

See what reach advantage in UFC fights actually predicts, using a 2,229-bout study, division data, fighter examples, and honest model limitations.

Oscar Nascimento