A Russian MMA analyst broke down the upcoming welterweight main event between Jack Madalena and Carlos Prates. The analyst noted that Prates struggles when pressured and forced backward, which worked well for Ian Garry due to his kicking game and footwork. However, Madalena lacks Garry's leg strike abilities and will have to rely on boxing to control distance, increasing his risk of being countered. The analyst referenced how Garry dominated four rounds but nearly lost in the fifth after one mistake, questioning whether Madalena can maintain perfect defense for 25 minutes. The piece concludes that Madalena's only path to victory is pressuring Prates for the full fight while maintaining flawless defensive discipline, which the analyst considers unlikely, leading to a pick for Prates.
