Detailed breakdown favors Carlos Prates over Jack Della Maddalena

An analyst breaks down the Della Maddalena versus Prates matchup, noting Prates is vulnerable when pressured and forced backward, as shown in his fight with Ian Garry. However, the analyst argues Della Maddalena lacks Garry's kicking game and footwork, forcing him to rely on boxing to control distance, which increases the risk of Prates landing a counter strike. The analyst references Prates's ability to remain dangerous late, citing his near-knockout of Garry in round five despite trailing. The breakdown questions whether Della Maddalena can maintain perfect defensive discipline over 25 minutes, especially given his susceptibility to strikes in previous fights. The analyst concludes the only path to victory for Della Maddalena is relentlessly pressuring Prates while maintaining flawless defense, but expresses skepticism and picks Prates to win.