Breakdown: Maddalena vs Prates favors Prates despite Maddalena's pressure

The upcoming welterweight bout between Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates pits a dangerous knockout artist against a strong boxer who wins through volume. Maddalena's style works best when he is the aggressor and presses forward, which could trouble Prates who struggles when forced to retreat, as Ian Garry demonstrated. However, Maddalena lacks Garry's kicking game and footwork, meaning he will need to box at close range to control distance, which puts him at risk of Prates' devastating power with every exchange. Even if Maddalena wins the early rounds, Prates remains dangerous until the final seconds, as Garry nearly discovered after dominating four rounds but almost losing in the fifth. The analysis concludes that for Maddalena to win, he must pressure Prates for 25 minutes while maintaining perfect defensive discipline, which seems unlikely given that even Belal Muhammad landed freely on him.