An analytical breakdown of the upcoming Jack Maddalena versus Carlos Prates fight suggests Prates has the advantage due to his knockout power. The analysis notes that Maddalena's style works when he's the aggressor, and while Ian Garry successfully pressured Prates using kicks and footwork, Maddalena lacks those tools and will have to rely on boxing to control distance. Every close-range exchange represents a risk of getting countered by Prates. The only path to victory for Maddalena is maintaining perfect pressure and defense for 25 minutes while avoiding Prates' power, which the analyst considers unlikely. Prates has dropped opponents 11 times in the UFC and remains dangerous until the final seconds, similar to how he nearly finished Garry in round five despite losing the first four rounds.
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