A detailed breakdown of the upcoming Jack Maddalena versus Carlos Prates fight suggests Prates has the advantage despite Maddalena's pressure-heavy style typically working well against fighters who struggle when forced to retreat. While Ian Garry successfully pressured Prates using kicks and footwork, Maddalena lacks Garry's leg kick game and footwork skills, forcing him to rely on boxing for distance control. This creates risk with every exchange against Prates' dangerous strikes. Even if Maddalena wins early rounds, Prates remains dangerous until the final seconds, as demonstrated when he nearly finished Garry in the fifth round after losing four rounds. The only path to victory for Maddalena requires 25 minutes of perfect pressure while maintaining flawless defensive discipline, which seems unlikely given even Belal Muhammad landed strikes on him. The analysis predicts Prates will win.
