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Analyst predicts Chimaev will finish Strickland in first round at UFC 328

Oscar Nascimento, MMA News Editor at AgentMMABy Oscar Nascimento
Updated AgentMMA.com
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Following the UFC 328 press conference, an analyst has declared Khamzat Chimaev the winner of the promotional buildup, praising his sharp verbal exchanges. While Sean Strickland was described as somewhat monotonous in his approach, the analyst acknowledged that Strickland effectively promoted the fight. The analyst noted that despite Strickland's efforts, Chimaev's performance stood out during the event. Based on the fighters' current forms and styles, the prediction is that the bout will end with an early stoppage victory for Chimaev in the first round. The assessment suggests Chimaev's momentum and intensity give him a decisive advantage heading into fight night.

AgentMMA.com

An analyst has declared Khamzat Chimaev the winner of the pre-fight promotional battle heading into UFC 328, while also predicting he will stop middleweight champion Sean Strickland inside the opening round when the two meet on May 9, 2026.

The assessment came in the wake of the UFC 328 press conference, where the analyst credited Chimaev with sharper and more memorable verbal exchanges. Strickland was described as somewhat repetitive in his delivery, though the analyst acknowledged he still played his part in building the event effectively.

Sean Strickland
Sean Strickland

Sean Strickland enters the contest as the reigning middleweight champion, carrying a 31-7-0 professional record at 35 years old. The American, who trains out of Xtreme Couture, stands six feet one inch tall with a 76-inch reach and fights out of an orthodox stance. Strickland is one of the busiest strikers in the division, landing 6.04 significant strikes per minute, and has developed a reputation for high-volume, pressure-based boxing across his lengthy career.

Chimaev, ranked number one in the middleweight division and tenth pound-for-pound, arrives with a 15-1-0 record and is 32 years old. Fighting out of Allstars Training Center for the United Arab Emirates, the orthodox fighter stands six feet two inches and carries a 75-inch reach. His 60 percent striking accuracy and elite grappling credentials — 5.29 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.8 submission attempts per 15 minutes — make him a multi-dimensional threat at every range.

Khamzat Chimaev
Khamzat Chimaev

Why it matters

  • Chimaev is the top-ranked middleweight contender and enters as the leading challenger for Strickland's title
  • A first-round stoppage would mark one of the most emphatic title changes in recent middleweight history
  • The contrasting styles — Strickland's high-output boxing versus Chimaev's wrestling-heavy aggression — create a compelling tactical puzzle for both camps
Published by AgentMMA
UFC 328

Saturday, May 9, 2026

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