UFC 328 sees two fighters lose title bouts despite landing 8+ takedowns

At UFC 328, a rare statistical anomaly occurred twice when fighters who landed eight or more takedowns in a title fight ended up losing. Historically, UFC fighters who land five or more takedowns in a title bout win 81.08 percent of the time, while those landing seven or more takedowns win 83 percent of the time. Khamzat Chimaev landed nine takedowns and Tatsuro Taira landed eight, yet both lost their respective championship fights. The post analyzes that while elite wrestlers maintain an 80 percent win probability, total well-roundedness remains the ultimate advantage, as wrestling is energy-intensive and highly dependent on health, weight cut, and other circumstantial factors. The analysis suggests that against high-level strikers with universal skills, even dominant wrestling performances can fall short if other elements are not optimal.