A rare statistical anomaly occurred twice at UFC 328, as both Khamzat Chimaev and Tatsuro Taira lost their title fights despite securing 8+ takedowns each. Historically, UFC fighters who land 5+ takedowns in a title bout win 81.08% of the time, and those with 7+ takedowns win 83% of the time. Chimaev landed 9 takedowns while Taira secured 8 with nearly 11 minutes of control time, yet both were defeated. The analysis suggests this demonstrates that while elite wrestling provides an 80% win probability, total well-roundedness remains superior. Weight cutting issues, health conditions, and travel can significantly impact a wrestler's effectiveness. The post notes that Chimaev showed potential as a more well-rounded fighter and could benefit from improved striking preparation and a dedicated striking coach.
Saturday, May 9, 2026
