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UFC Record Breakdown
Heavyweight violence is on the menu when Louie "Vanilla Gorilla" Sutherland tries to bounce back against Brando "The Balkan Bear" Pericic. Both these big boys are coming off first round finishes, just in very different ways. Sutherland got caught in a nasty heel hook by Valter Walker back in October at UFC 321, tapping at 1:24 of the opening frame. That submission was actually part of Walker's insane 4 fight UFC heel hook streak, so Sutherland was just the latest victim of a submission specialist on fire. Meanwhile, Pericic was raining down punches from guard in Perth, stopping Elisha Ellison at 1:55 of round one to grab that W. Here's the thing about this matchup.
If this hits the ground early, expect fireworks in the first five minutes when Pericic looks to impose that top pressure.
Pericic showed he can do serious damage from top position, landing 30 of 50 strikes in that Perth finish. The dude was relentless, just pounding away until the ref pulled him off. Sutherland's last fight was all grappling gone wrong, getting dropped and immediately heel hooked before he could even get started. Only landed 3 of 5 strikes before it was lights out. Both guys are orthodox heavyweights, so this could turn into a phone booth war real quick. Pericic has that ground and pound game that's scary as hell if he gets on top.
Sutherland needs to keep this standing and avoid the mat at all costs after what happened last time. The question is whether he can shake off that submission loss and get back to throwing leather. This feels like a fight that answers big questions for both guys. Can Sutherland prove that heel hook was just a bad night? Can Pericic show he's more than just a one trick pony with the ground strikes?
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Brando Pericic finish map
Brando Pericic breakdown
Brando Pericic's recent form
Heavyweight violence is on the menu when Louie "Vanilla Gorilla" Sutherland tries to bounce back against Brando "The Balkan Bear" Pericic. Both these big boys are coming off first round finishes, just in very different ways. Sutherland got caught in a nasty heel hook by Valter Walker back in October at UFC 321, tapping at 1:24 of the opening frame. That submission was actually part of Walker's insane 4 fight UFC heel hook streak, so Sutherland was just the latest victim of a submission specialist on fire. Meanwhile, Pericic was raining down punches from guard in Perth, stopping Elisha Ellison at 1:55 of round one to grab that W. Here's the thing about this matchup.
If this hits the ground early, expect fireworks in the first five minutes when Pericic looks to impose that top pressure.
Pericic showed he can do serious damage from top position, landing 30 of 50 strikes in that Perth finish. The dude was relentless, just pounding away until the ref pulled him off. Sutherland's last fight was all grappling gone wrong, getting dropped and immediately heel hooked before he could even get started. Only landed 3 of 5 strikes before it was lights out. Both guys are orthodox heavyweights, so this could turn into a phone booth war real quick. Pericic has that ground and pound game that's scary as hell if he gets on top.
Sutherland needs to keep this standing and avoid the mat at all costs after what happened last time. The question is whether he can shake off that submission loss and get back to throwing leather. This feels like a fight that answers big questions for both guys. Can Sutherland prove that heel hook was just a bad night? Can Pericic show he's more than just a one trick pony with the ground strikes?
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Unlock full analysisLouie Sutherland finish map
Louie Sutherland breakdown
Louie Sutherland's recent form
Pace delta
+13.0 significant strikes/min
Brando Pericic averages 15.1 significant strikes per minute while Louie Sutherland sits at 2.1.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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