AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Michael Page is riding high after back to back wins at middleweight, including that huge decision over Jared Cannonier in Chicago last August. Before that, he outpointed Shara Magomedov in Saudi Arabia, proving he can hang with the division's best. Now he's dropping back down to welterweight to face Sam Patterson, and this feels like a showcase fight for Venom to remind everyone why he was such a problem in Bellator. Patterson is on an absolute tear though. The Team Crossface fighter has finished all four of his UFC wins, and we're talking scary fast finishes. He knocked out Trey Waters in Paris last September, starched Danny Barlow in under four minutes, and submitted Kiefer Crosbie at UFC 304 in Manchester.
If Patterson's going to get it done, history says it happens early, but Page has the tools to make this a long, frustrating night for the finisher.
Every single one of those came in the first round. The dude doesn't waste time. Here's the thing though. Page is a switch stance striker with that wild, unorthodox style that makes him tough to prepare for. He landed 52 strikes at 70% accuracy against Ian Machado Garry (even though he lost that decision), and he's got the kind of movement and range that can frustrate aggressive finishers. Patterson's going to have to close distance on a guy who's spent his whole career making people miss and countering with nasty shots.
This is a massive step up in competition for Patterson. He's been crushing guys, but Page just beat a former title challenger at a higher weight class. Can Patterson's finishing instinct overcome Venom's experience and trickery? That's what everyone wants to see.
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Sam Patterson finish map

Sam Patterson breakdown
Sam Patterson's recent form
Michael Page is riding high after back to back wins at middleweight, including that huge decision over Jared Cannonier in Chicago last August. Before that, he outpointed Shara Magomedov in Saudi Arabia, proving he can hang with the division's best. Now he's dropping back down to welterweight to face Sam Patterson, and this feels like a showcase fight for Venom to remind everyone why he was such a problem in Bellator. Patterson is on an absolute tear though. The Team Crossface fighter has finished all four of his UFC wins, and we're talking scary fast finishes. He knocked out Trey Waters in Paris last September, starched Danny Barlow in under four minutes, and submitted Kiefer Crosbie at UFC 304 in Manchester.
If Patterson's going to get it done, history says it happens early, but Page has the tools to make this a long, frustrating night for the finisher.
Every single one of those came in the first round. The dude doesn't waste time. Here's the thing though. Page is a switch stance striker with that wild, unorthodox style that makes him tough to prepare for. He landed 52 strikes at 70% accuracy against Ian Machado Garry (even though he lost that decision), and he's got the kind of movement and range that can frustrate aggressive finishers. Patterson's going to have to close distance on a guy who's spent his whole career making people miss and countering with nasty shots.
This is a massive step up in competition for Patterson. He's been crushing guys, but Page just beat a former title challenger at a higher weight class. Can Patterson's finishing instinct overcome Venom's experience and trickery? That's what everyone wants to see.
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Michael Page finish map

Michael Page breakdown
Michael Page's recent form
Pace delta
+1.5 significant strikes/min
Sam Patterson averages 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Michael Page sits at 2.4.
AI confidence
84%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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