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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Two undefeated featherweights are finally settling this in London, and the winner is knocking on the title picture's door. Movsar Evloev just beat former bantamweight champ Aljamain Sterling back in December, grinding out a decision with over six minutes of control time. Lerone Murphy? Dude's been on an absolute tear, starching Aaron Pico with a spinning back elbow in the first round last August, then going five hard rounds with Josh Emmett in April. Both guys are riding serious momentum into the March 21 showdown at the O2 Arena. Here's what makes this interesting. Evloev is the ultimate grinder, the kind of guy who smothers you for 15 minutes and makes it look easy. He took out Arnold Allen, Diego Lopes, and Dan Ige all by decision, mixing slick striking with relentless wrestling. Murphy's more explosive, more dangerous in the pocket.
Murphy's power is live from the opening bell, but if Evloev survives the early storm and starts grinding in rounds two and three, that's where his wrestling takes over.
He's got knockout power and solid takedown defense, plus he's proven he can go five rounds twice now. The O2 Arena is gonna be rocking for their guy. The technical battle is wild to think about. Evloev landed 136 strikes and hit four takedowns against Sterling, controlling nearly half the fight. Murphy's been sharper lately though, finishing Pico in three minutes and outstriking Barboza over 25 minutes. Both are orthodox, both train at top gyms (American Top Team vs Manchester Top Team), and neither has tasted defeat. Something's gotta give. Evloev's already talking about this being his ticket to a title shot with no excuses, and he's planning to bring serious pressure. He's confident his striking is levels above Murphy's, even though he's not underestimating the Brit.
Murphy already said beating Evloev doesn't guarantee a title shot, but let's be real, the winner is right there. Fans have been waiting for someone to crack Evloev's code, and Murphy might be the guy with the power to do it. The Russian knew about this matchup five weeks before the official announcement and has been locked in on game planning ever since. The health scare is behind Evloev now. He battled a mystery virus in 2025 that destroyed his cardio and had him genuinely worried his career might be over, but he's fully recovered and feeling better than ever heading into fight week. In his latest media appearances, Evloev dismissed Murphy's striking as nothing special and promised to test whose pressure is really stronger. He's adamant that anyone watching will have no excuse but to see him as the number one contender after this fight.
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Lerone Murphy finish map
Lerone Murphy breakdown
Lerone Murphy's recent form
Two undefeated featherweights are finally settling this in London, and the winner is knocking on the title picture's door. Movsar Evloev just beat former bantamweight champ Aljamain Sterling back in December, grinding out a decision with over six minutes of control time. Lerone Murphy? Dude's been on an absolute tear, starching Aaron Pico with a spinning back elbow in the first round last August, then going five hard rounds with Josh Emmett in April. Both guys are riding serious momentum into the March 21 showdown at the O2 Arena. Here's what makes this interesting. Evloev is the ultimate grinder, the kind of guy who smothers you for 15 minutes and makes it look easy. He took out Arnold Allen, Diego Lopes, and Dan Ige all by decision, mixing slick striking with relentless wrestling. Murphy's more explosive, more dangerous in the pocket.
Murphy's power is live from the opening bell, but if Evloev survives the early storm and starts grinding in rounds two and three, that's where his wrestling takes over.
He's got knockout power and solid takedown defense, plus he's proven he can go five rounds twice now. The O2 Arena is gonna be rocking for their guy. The technical battle is wild to think about. Evloev landed 136 strikes and hit four takedowns against Sterling, controlling nearly half the fight. Murphy's been sharper lately though, finishing Pico in three minutes and outstriking Barboza over 25 minutes. Both are orthodox, both train at top gyms (American Top Team vs Manchester Top Team), and neither has tasted defeat. Something's gotta give. Evloev's already talking about this being his ticket to a title shot with no excuses, and he's planning to bring serious pressure. He's confident his striking is levels above Murphy's, even though he's not underestimating the Brit.
Murphy already said beating Evloev doesn't guarantee a title shot, but let's be real, the winner is right there. Fans have been waiting for someone to crack Evloev's code, and Murphy might be the guy with the power to do it. The Russian knew about this matchup five weeks before the official announcement and has been locked in on game planning ever since. The health scare is behind Evloev now. He battled a mystery virus in 2025 that destroyed his cardio and had him genuinely worried his career might be over, but he's fully recovered and feeling better than ever heading into fight week. In his latest media appearances, Evloev dismissed Murphy's striking as nothing special and promised to test whose pressure is really stronger. He's adamant that anyone watching will have no excuse but to see him as the number one contender after this fight.
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Movsar Evloev finish map
Movsar Evloev breakdown
Movsar Evloev's recent form
Pace delta
+0.5 significant strikes/min
Lerone Murphy averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Movsar Evloev sits at 4.0.
AI confidence
93%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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