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This is absolutely wild. Islam Makhachev, the guy who's been running through lightweights like a buzz saw, is moving up to welterweight to defend a belt he just won against Jack Della Maddalena. And standing across from him? Ian Machado Garry, who's been saying all along he was next in line for this shot. Garry's been talking big too, breaking down exactly how he plans to hand Islam his first stoppage loss and derail that UFC win streak record everyone's watching. Here's the thing though. Garry's coming off back to back wars.
If Islam gets his hands on Garry, that D'Arce choke could show up quick, but Garry's length might keep things dangerous on the feet through the championship rounds.
He beat Belal Muhammad in a decision just a few months ago, then went five hard rounds with Carlos Prates before that. The dude's tough as nails and he's convinced his size, speed, and boxing are things Islam's never dealt with. Meanwhile, Makhachev just choked out Renato Moicano in under four minutes at lightweight, then jumped up and decision'd Della Maddalena over five rounds to grab welterweight gold. That D'Arce choke is becoming his signature move. The matchup is fascinating because Garry actually has legit size on Islam. He's taller, longer, and he moves well. But Islam's been finishing guys everywhere.
Remember that head kick that slept Alexander Volkanovski? Or that fifth round submission of Dustin Poirier when everyone thought Dustin might steal it? This version of Makhachev is scary at two weight classes now. Garry thinks Islam's been ducking him, pointing to all the other callouts. Islam says he never got a contract until now. Either way, we're finally getting the fight, and it's for welterweight gold in Philly.
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Shavkat Rakhmonov finish map
Shavkat Rakhmonov breakdown
Shavkat Rakhmonov's recent form
This is absolutely wild. Islam Makhachev, the guy who's been running through lightweights like a buzz saw, is moving up to welterweight to defend a belt he just won against Jack Della Maddalena. And standing across from him? Ian Machado Garry, who's been saying all along he was next in line for this shot. Garry's been talking big too, breaking down exactly how he plans to hand Islam his first stoppage loss and derail that UFC win streak record everyone's watching. Here's the thing though. Garry's coming off back to back wars.
If Islam gets his hands on Garry, that D'Arce choke could show up quick, but Garry's length might keep things dangerous on the feet through the championship rounds.
He beat Belal Muhammad in a decision just a few months ago, then went five hard rounds with Carlos Prates before that. The dude's tough as nails and he's convinced his size, speed, and boxing are things Islam's never dealt with. Meanwhile, Makhachev just choked out Renato Moicano in under four minutes at lightweight, then jumped up and decision'd Della Maddalena over five rounds to grab welterweight gold. That D'Arce choke is becoming his signature move. The matchup is fascinating because Garry actually has legit size on Islam. He's taller, longer, and he moves well. But Islam's been finishing guys everywhere.
Remember that head kick that slept Alexander Volkanovski? Or that fifth round submission of Dustin Poirier when everyone thought Dustin might steal it? This version of Makhachev is scary at two weight classes now. Garry thinks Islam's been ducking him, pointing to all the other callouts. Islam says he never got a contract until now. Either way, we're finally getting the fight, and it's for welterweight gold in Philly.
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Islam Makhachev finish map
Islam Makhachev breakdown
Islam Makhachev's recent form
Pace delta
+0.6 significant strikes/min
Shavkat Rakhmonov averages 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Islam Makhachev sits at 2.6.
AI confidence
89%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Islam Makhachev odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
