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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Man, this is the welterweight clash everyone has been fantasy booking since Buckley started his tear through the division. You have Rakhmonov sitting there undefeated, fresh off that five round war with Ian Garry at UFC 310 where he showed he can hang in deep water. Then there is Buckley, who just went five hard rounds with Kamaru Usman in June and proved he belongs in these big moments, even though he came up short on the scorecards. This matchup is pure fire, finisher against finisher, and someone's perfect night is ending. What makes it so intriguing is how their weapons collide. Rakhmonov is an absolute killer with submissions. He choked out Wonderboy in the second round and caught Geoff Neal with a rear naked choke in the third.
This one heats up the second either guy smells blood - Rakhmonov hunts the neck when he gets top position, and Buckley unloads bombs the moment he sees an opening.
He is dangerous everywhere, calm under pressure and incredibly efficient. Buckley is no joke either. He knocked out Wonderboy, smashed Vicente Luque with brutal ground and pound, and that southpaw power is genuinely scary. Lately he has been mixing in his wrestling a lot more and it shows. The real question is whether Buckley's aggression and power can crack Rakhmonov before those grappling exchanges start to tilt the fight. Rakhmonov landed 83 percent of his strikes against Wonderboy and controlled more than eleven minutes against Garry, so he is patient and precise. Buckley threw 156 strikes against Usman and went four for four on takedowns against Ruziboev, which shows how complete his game is becoming.
This is high level problem solving from both guys. As a potential matchup, it would be massive for the division. Rakhmonov is trying to stay perfect and carry that momentum for Kazakhstan while cementing himself as the clear number one contender. Buckley is looking to bounce back from the Usman loss and finish one of the wildest rises in recent welterweight history. The winner comes out as the guy everyone has to go through at 170.
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Shavkat Rakhmonov finish map
Shavkat Rakhmonov breakdown
Shavkat Rakhmonov's recent form
Man, this is the welterweight clash everyone has been fantasy booking since Buckley started his tear through the division. You have Rakhmonov sitting there undefeated, fresh off that five round war with Ian Garry at UFC 310 where he showed he can hang in deep water. Then there is Buckley, who just went five hard rounds with Kamaru Usman in June and proved he belongs in these big moments, even though he came up short on the scorecards. This matchup is pure fire, finisher against finisher, and someone's perfect night is ending. What makes it so intriguing is how their weapons collide. Rakhmonov is an absolute killer with submissions. He choked out Wonderboy in the second round and caught Geoff Neal with a rear naked choke in the third.
This one heats up the second either guy smells blood - Rakhmonov hunts the neck when he gets top position, and Buckley unloads bombs the moment he sees an opening.
He is dangerous everywhere, calm under pressure and incredibly efficient. Buckley is no joke either. He knocked out Wonderboy, smashed Vicente Luque with brutal ground and pound, and that southpaw power is genuinely scary. Lately he has been mixing in his wrestling a lot more and it shows. The real question is whether Buckley's aggression and power can crack Rakhmonov before those grappling exchanges start to tilt the fight. Rakhmonov landed 83 percent of his strikes against Wonderboy and controlled more than eleven minutes against Garry, so he is patient and precise. Buckley threw 156 strikes against Usman and went four for four on takedowns against Ruziboev, which shows how complete his game is becoming.
This is high level problem solving from both guys. As a potential matchup, it would be massive for the division. Rakhmonov is trying to stay perfect and carry that momentum for Kazakhstan while cementing himself as the clear number one contender. Buckley is looking to bounce back from the Usman loss and finish one of the wildest rises in recent welterweight history. The winner comes out as the guy everyone has to go through at 170.
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Unlock full analysisJoaquin Buckley finish map
Joaquin Buckley breakdown
Joaquin Buckley's recent form
Pace delta
+1.0 significant strikes/min
Joaquin Buckley averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute while Shavkat Rakhmonov sits at 3.3.
AI confidence
77%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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