UFC 331
Sep 19, 2026In 22 days
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Curtis Blaydes 3.6 SLpM, Waldo Acosta 5.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Curtis Blaydes 50%, Waldo Acosta 49%
  • Damage Avoidance: Curtis Blaydes 2.0 abs/min, Waldo Acosta 3.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Curtis Blaydes 48%, Waldo Acosta 57%
  • Takedown Defense: Curtis Blaydes 31%, Waldo Acosta 72%
  • Submission Threat: Curtis Blaydes —, Waldo Acosta 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Curtis Blaydes
Waldo Acosta

Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Acosta AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Acosta

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Curtis Blaydes
14-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (39%)
Decision (39%)
Losses (22%)
No Contest (1)
Waldo Acosta
10-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (41%)
Decision (41%)
Losses (19%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency48%
Takedown Defense31%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%
Grappling Efficiency57%
Takedown Defense72%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Curtis Blaydes
Waldo Acosta

This heavyweight scrap is getting serious attention. Salsa Boy has been on a tear lately, starching Derrick Lewis with ground and pound and sleeping Shamil Gaziev in just 82 seconds. The dude's found his power, landing 72% of his strikes against Lewis before finishing him in round two. But then Alexander Volkov showed him what elite heavyweight boxing looks like, outpointing him over three rounds back in May. Blaydes is coming off a rough stretch though.

Key Storylines
  • Salsa Boy's knockout streak meets Razor's wrestling pedigree
  • Blaydes fighting to stay relevant after two recent losses
  • Three straight finishes have Cortes Acosta knocking on top ten
Finishing Window

If Blaydes can't get it to the ground early, Cortes Acosta's power could put him away in the first two rounds.

He got caught by Tom Aspinall in just 60 seconds fighting for interim gold, then dropped a decision to Josh Hokit in April. Before that, he had that nasty KO win over Jailton Almeida, proving he can still crack when things go his way. The Sergei Pavlovich loss from 2023 still stings too, getting stopped in the first round. Here's what makes this interesting. Cortes Acosta is riding momentum with three finishes in his last four, while Blaydes has dropped two of his last three.

Razor's wrestling has always been his bread and butter, but Salsa Boy stuffed Volkov's takedown and showed solid defensive grappling. Blaydes landed just 2 of 15 takedowns against Kuniev, which isn't the Curtis we're used to seeing. The stakes are real for both guys. Cortes Acosta can crack the top ten with a win over a former title challenger. Blaydes needs this one badly to stay relevant in a division that's moved on without him.

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Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Acosta Stats Comparison

Age
35
34
Height
6'4" (193 cm)
6'4" (193 cm)
Weight
265 lbs (120 kg)
260 lbs (118 kg)
Reach
80" (203 cm)
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Acosta AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.0 significant strikes/min

Waldo Acosta averages 5.5 significant strikes per minute while Curtis Blaydes sits at 3.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Curtis Blaydes and Waldo Acosta, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Acosta.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Blaydes vs Acosta odds

Live Polymarket odds for Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Acosta are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Blaydes vs Acosta

Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Acosta is on the UFC 331 card on Sep 19, 2026. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Blaydes vs Acosta: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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