AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.


This light heavyweight scrap is flying under the radar, but it's got all the ingredients for a wild night. Satybaldiev just pulled off an Ezekiel choke from guard back in August against Diyar Nurgozhay, finishing it in under three minutes. That's old school jiu jitsu right there, the kind of submission you don't see every day in the UFC. Walker's coming off a dominant decision win over Rafael Cerqueira where he landed 96 strikes at an insane 80% accuracy and controlled over 11 minutes of cage time. Here's the thing though.
Satybaldiev took a tough loss to Martin Buday before that submission win, getting outworked for three rounds at heavyweight. Now he's back at 205 where he clearly belongs. Walker's got momentum but that split decision loss to Alonzo Menifield in February shows he can be pushed to the brink. Dude threw 200 strikes in that fight and still came up short on two cards. The matchup is fascinating because Walker's volume and wrestling could be a problem.
He hit 6 of 10 takedowns against Cerqueira and kept constant pressure. But Satybaldiev's got that submission threat that makes every scramble dangerous. You can't get comfortable on the ground with a guy who chokes people out from bottom position. Walker's more technical, Satybaldiev's more opportunistic.
UFC Record Breakdown
If this hits the ground in rounds two or three, that's when Satybaldiev becomes most dangerous with his submissions.

Uran Satybaldiev finish map

Uran Satybaldiev breakdown
This light heavyweight scrap is flying under the radar, but it's got all the ingredients for a wild night. Satybaldiev just pulled off an Ezekiel choke from guard back in August against Diyar Nurgozhay, finishing it in under three minutes. That's old school jiu jitsu right there, the kind of submission you don't see every day in the UFC. Walker's coming off a dominant decision win over Rafael Cerqueira where he landed 96 strikes at an insane 80% accuracy and controlled over 11 minutes of cage time. Here's the thing though.
Satybaldiev took a tough loss to Martin Buday before that submission win, getting outworked for three rounds at heavyweight. Now he's back at 205 where he clearly belongs. Walker's got momentum but that split decision loss to Alonzo Menifield in February shows he can be pushed to the brink. Dude threw 200 strikes in that fight and still came up short on two cards. The matchup is fascinating because Walker's volume and wrestling could be a problem.
He hit 6 of 10 takedowns against Cerqueira and kept constant pressure. But Satybaldiev's got that submission threat that makes every scramble dangerous. You can't get comfortable on the ground with a guy who chokes people out from bottom position. Walker's more technical, Satybaldiev's more opportunistic.
If this hits the ground in rounds two or three, that's when Satybaldiev becomes most dangerous with his submissions.

Julius Walker finish map

Julius Walker breakdown
Pace delta
+2.2 significant strikes/min
Julius Walker averages 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Uran Satybaldiev sits at 2.1.
AI confidence
80%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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