AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Arnold Allen's coming off a huge bounce-back win over Giga Chikadze at UFC 304 in Manchester, landing 61 strikes and taking a clear decision after dropping back-to-back losses to Movsar Evloev and Max Holloway. The Tristar Gym product needed that one bad, and now he's looking to build momentum against Jean Silva, who's riding a wild streak of finishes but just ate his first UFC loss to Diego Lopes in September - ground and pound stoppage in round two. Silva's been an absolute problem since joining the UFC, knocking out Charles Jourdain and Melsik Baghdasaryan, then choking out Bryce Mitchell with a slick guillotine. The Brazilian's dangerous as hell early, landing 67% of his strikes against Baghdasaryan before sleeping him in the first round.
But that Lopes fight showed he can be taken down and finished when things get messy. Here's the thing - Allen's a southpaw technician who can piece you up over three rounds, but he's also shown finishing power when he dropped Calvin Kattar with a knee and starched Dan Hooker in London. Silva's an orthodox brawler who hunts for the finish, whether it's on the feet or snatching necks in the clinch. Allen's only attempted one takedown in his last fight, so this is likely staying standing.
This is a massive fight for both guys at featherweight. Allen needs to prove he belongs in that top-10 conversation, while Silva's trying to show that Lopes loss was just a tough matchup and he's still a rising threat.


UFC Record Breakdown
Silva's most dangerous in rounds one and two where he's landed all his finishes, but if Allen survives the early storm, his volume and cardio could take over late.

Arnold Allen finish map

Arnold Allen breakdown
Arnold Allen's coming off a huge bounce-back win over Giga Chikadze at UFC 304 in Manchester, landing 61 strikes and taking a clear decision after dropping back-to-back losses to Movsar Evloev and Max Holloway. The Tristar Gym product needed that one bad, and now he's looking to build momentum against Jean Silva, who's riding a wild streak of finishes but just ate his first UFC loss to Diego Lopes in September - ground and pound stoppage in round two. Silva's been an absolute problem since joining the UFC, knocking out Charles Jourdain and Melsik Baghdasaryan, then choking out Bryce Mitchell with a slick guillotine. The Brazilian's dangerous as hell early, landing 67% of his strikes against Baghdasaryan before sleeping him in the first round.
But that Lopes fight showed he can be taken down and finished when things get messy. Here's the thing - Allen's a southpaw technician who can piece you up over three rounds, but he's also shown finishing power when he dropped Calvin Kattar with a knee and starched Dan Hooker in London. Silva's an orthodox brawler who hunts for the finish, whether it's on the feet or snatching necks in the clinch. Allen's only attempted one takedown in his last fight, so this is likely staying standing.
This is a massive fight for both guys at featherweight. Allen needs to prove he belongs in that top-10 conversation, while Silva's trying to show that Lopes loss was just a tough matchup and he's still a rising threat.
Silva's most dangerous in rounds one and two where he's landed all his finishes, but if Allen survives the early storm, his volume and cardio could take over late.

Jean Silva finish map

Jean Silva breakdown
Pace delta
+1.3 significant strikes/min
Jean Silva averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Arnold Allen sits at 3.5.
AI confidence
85%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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AI War Room Preview
AgentMMA's models flagged a high-confidence edge in this matchup. Unlock the full breakdown, confidence grade, and staking plan for Arnold Allen vs Jean Silva.
Confidence grade revealed inside