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UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026• In 12 daysRogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Tanner Boser 4.7 SLpM, Jhonata Diniz 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Tanner Boser 52%, Jhonata Diniz 56%
  • Damage Avoidance: Tanner Boser 2.8 abs/min, Jhonata Diniz 3.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Tanner Boser —, Jhonata Diniz —
  • Takedown Defense: Tanner Boser 63%, Jhonata Diniz 70%
  • Submission Threat: Tanner Boser —, Jhonata Diniz —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tanner Boser
Jhonata Diniz

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tanner Boser
5-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (39%)
Decision (26%)
Losses (35%)
Jhonata Diniz
3-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (24%)
Decision (48%)
Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense63%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense70%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Tanner Boser
Jhonata Diniz

That first clean exchange between Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz should get Rogers Place buzzing. The Canadian is fighting in Edmonton after a rough last outing, and Diniz also comes in with a stoppage loss to answer for. There is a nasty edge to that setup, because neither man can afford to get comfortable when the other starts throwing. Boser's latest fight ended against Gokhan Saricam in round 2, with a punch to the head at distance, after his previous appearance brought a unanimous decision over Aleksa Camur.

Key Storylines
  • Edmonton gets Boser with a rough last outing still hanging over him
  • Diniz's longer reach turns Boser's route inside into the big question
  • Both have ground stoppage losses that make every position worth watching
Finishing Window

Round 2 looks like the likeliest point for the action to break open, as repeated entries start showing who can keep position and distance.

Diniz was stopped by Mario Pinto's punches from mount in round 2, following a unanimous decision win against Alvin Hines. Those are different kinds of trouble, which makes the question of where this fight happens especially interesting. Both men stand orthodox, but Diniz has 79 inches of reach to Boser's 75, so Boser cannot treat every step forward as free. He needs to find an entry and an exit, while Diniz needs to keep that extra space useful without giving away an easy route inside.

If they hit the mat, Diniz's latest loss and Boser's earlier ground stoppage against Ion Cutelaba make position worth watching closely. And remember, Boser stopped Ovince Saint Preux with a punch at distance, while Diniz did the same against Austen Lane. That is enough reason to watch every reset closely, because a quiet stretch does not make the next exchange safe.

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Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz Stats Comparison

Age
35
•
35
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
•
6'4" (193 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
•
254 lbs (115 kg)
Reach
75" (191 cm)
•
79" (201 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.8 significant strikes/min

Tanner Boser averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Jhonata Diniz sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Boser vs Diniz odds

Live Polymarket odds for Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Boser vs Diniz

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz is on the UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card on Oct 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Boser vs Diniz: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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