UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026In 58 daysRogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Tanner Boser 4.7 SLpM, Jhonata Diniz 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Tanner Boser 52%, Jhonata Diniz 56%
  • Damage Avoidance: Tanner Boser 2.8 abs/min, Jhonata Diniz 3.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Tanner Boser —, Jhonata Diniz —
  • Takedown Defense: Tanner Boser 63%, Jhonata Diniz 70%
  • Submission Threat: Tanner Boser —, Jhonata Diniz —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tanner Boser
Jhonata Diniz

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tanner Boser
5-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (39%)
Decision (26%)
Losses (35%)
Jhonata Diniz
3-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (24%)
Decision (48%)
Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense63%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense70%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Tanner Boser
Jhonata Diniz

Tanner Boser is getting a hometown shot to turn things around, and he needs it bad. The Bulldozer is coming off a brutal KO loss to Gokhan Saricam back in April, getting caught with a punch in round two. Before that, he had some wild swings between weight classes, dropping down to light heavyweight where he beat Aleksa Camur but got absolutely starched by Ion Cutelaba in just over two minutes. The Canadian heavyweight has shown he can crack, like when he knocked out Ovince Saint Preux back in 2021, but consistency has been his demon. Jhonata Diniz is riding his own rollercoaster right now.

Key Storylines
  • Boser desperate to avoid three straight losses at home
  • Diniz looking to bounce back from brutal Pinto finish
  • Both heavyweights have shown they can crack but also get cracked
Finishing Window

Heavyweights rarely need the judges, so expect fireworks in rounds one and two when both guys are fresh and swinging for the fences.

The Brazilian just took a tough loss to Mario Pinto in October, getting finished from mount in round two. But before that, he was looking solid, beating Alvin Hines by decision at UFC 317 and knocking out Austen Lane. Diniz has shown decent volume when he's on, landing over 100 strikes against Hines, but the Tybura fight at UFC 309 exposed some holes when the doctor had to stop it after round two. This is a classic heavyweight scrap where both guys need a win to stay relevant. Boser has the crowd behind him in Edmonton, which could be huge, but he's been getting caught too much lately.

Diniz has finishing power but also gets finished when things go south. Neither guy is known for grinding out boring decisions, they come to throw. The stakes are simple here. Boser can't afford another loss in front of his people, and Diniz needs to prove that Pinto loss was just a bad night. Someone's getting their hand raised, and someone's looking at a rough conversation with matchmakers.

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Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz Stats Comparison

Age
35
35
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
6'4" (193 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
254 lbs (115 kg)
Reach
75" (191 cm)
79" (201 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.8 significant strikes/min

Tanner Boser averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Jhonata Diniz sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Boser vs Diniz odds

Live Polymarket odds for Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Boser vs Diniz

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz is on the UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card on Oct 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Boser vs Diniz: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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