UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026In 58 daysRogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Chelsea Chandler 3.5 SLpM, Melissa Croden 4.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Chelsea Chandler 45%, Melissa Croden 48%
  • Damage Avoidance: Chelsea Chandler 4.4 abs/min, Melissa Croden 1.8 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Chelsea Chandler 60%, Melissa Croden 50%
  • Takedown Defense: Chelsea Chandler 28%, Melissa Croden 66%
  • Submission Threat: Chelsea Chandler —, Melissa Croden —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Chelsea Chandler
Melissa Croden

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Chelsea Chandler
3-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (22%)
Sub (22%)
Decision (22%)
Losses (33%)
Melissa Croden
2-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (38%)
Decision (38%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency65%
Takedown Defense28%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Chelsea Chandler
Melissa Croden

Melissa Croden is looking to build some real momentum after bouncing back in April with that unanimous decision over Daria Zhelezniakova in Winnipeg. She landed 92 strikes and controlled over five minutes in that one, showing the kind of pressure game that earned her the nickname "Scare." Before that win, she dropped a decision to Luana Santos, but the October 2025 finish of Tainara Lisboa showed what she's capable of when things click. That third round ground and pound stoppage was nasty, 148 strikes landed at 64% accuracy. Chelsea Chandler is coming off a sick first round armbar finish over Priscila Cachoeira back in June.

Key Storylines
  • Croden riding two fight win streak with volume striking game
  • Chandler's slick submission skills versus Croden's grinding pressure
  • Southpaw grappler hunting finish against orthodox volume puncher
Finishing Window

If Chandler can't find a submission early, Croden's pace and output could take over in rounds two and three.

That Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu pedigree showed up big time when she locked up that mount and got the tap at 3:42. But here's the thing, she's been inconsistent. That brutal knockout loss to Joselyne Edwards in April 2025 was rough, got stopped by ground strikes in under three minutes. She's also dropped decisions to Yana Santos and Norma Dumont in her recent run.

This is an orthodox versus southpaw battle that could get wild. Croden brings volume and wrestling threat with those takedowns, while Chandler's got that submission danger if it hits the mat. Croden's been the busier fighter lately, throwing over 180 strikes in her last outing. Chandler's gotta be careful not to get drawn into a grinding fight where Croden can pile up damage.

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Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden Stats Comparison

Age
35
35
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
68" (173 cm)
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.5 significant strikes/min

Melissa Croden averages 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Chelsea Chandler sits at 3.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Chelsea Chandler and Melissa Croden, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Chandler vs Croden odds

Live Polymarket odds for Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Chandler vs Croden

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden is on the UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card on Oct 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Chandler vs Croden: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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