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UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026• In 11 daysRogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Chelsea Chandler 3.5 SLpM, Melissa Croden 4.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Chelsea Chandler 45%, Melissa Croden 48%
  • Damage Avoidance: Chelsea Chandler 4.4 abs/min, Melissa Croden 1.8 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Chelsea Chandler 60%, Melissa Croden 50%
  • Takedown Defense: Chelsea Chandler 28%, Melissa Croden 66%
  • Submission Threat: Chelsea Chandler —, Melissa Croden —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Chelsea Chandler
Melissa Croden

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Chelsea Chandler
3-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (22%)
Sub (22%)
Decision (22%)
Losses (33%)
Melissa Croden
2-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (38%)
Decision (38%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency65%
Takedown Defense28%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Chelsea Chandler
Melissa Croden

Watch where these two put their opponents before you look at how they finish. Melissa Croden stopped Tainara Lisboa with punches from half guard, while Chelsea Chandler caught Priscila Cachoeira with an armbar from mount in her latest outing. Put them together in Edmonton and the fight over who gets on top suddenly feels as interesting as anything they might throw standing. Croden arrives after a unanimous decision win over Daria Zhelezniakova, a solid response to her unanimous decision loss against Luana Santos.

Key Storylines
  • Croden brings a rebound win and a Canadian crowd behind her
  • Chandler's mounted armbar gave her a fresh start after a rough loss
  • Equal reach and opposite stances make the entry battle worth watching
Finishing Window

Expect the biggest openings during the first prolonged ground exchange, when repeated attempts to improve position begin leaving room for an attack.

Chandler also has something to build on, with that Cachoeira submission following a nasty loss to Joselyne Edwards by punches on the ground. Those results give this matchup some bite, especially when both have already turned a strong position on the mat into a finish. Their reach is the same, but Croden fights orthodox and Chandler works southpaw, so both have different angles to deal with from the first exchange. Croden has to find clean entries without walking straight into counters, while Chandler needs to stay balanced as she lets her own shots go.

If somebody shoots, watch the hands and hips after they land, because getting a takedown and keeping control are different jobs. For Croden, there is a Canadian crowd to feed off and another win to chase. For Chandler, the question is whether that latest comeback can keep rolling when the opponent can also punish a bad position.

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Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden Stats Comparison

Age
35
•
35
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
•
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
68" (173 cm)
•
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.5 significant strikes/min

Melissa Croden averages 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Chelsea Chandler sits at 3.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Chelsea Chandler and Melissa Croden, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Chandler vs Croden odds

Live Polymarket odds for Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Chandler vs Croden

Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa Croden is on the UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card on Oct 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Chandler vs Croden: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events