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UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026• In 11 daysRogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Nate Landwehr 5.6 SLpM, Mandel Nallo 8.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Nate Landwehr 45%, Mandel Nallo 62%
  • Damage Avoidance: Nate Landwehr 5.8 abs/min, Mandel Nallo 2.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Nate Landwehr 41%, Mandel Nallo —
  • Takedown Defense: Nate Landwehr 71%, Mandel Nallo 100%
  • Submission Threat: Nate Landwehr 0.8 per 15m, Mandel Nallo —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Nate Landwehr
Mandel Nallo

Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Nate Landwehr
5-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (13%)
Sub (26%)
Decision (26%)
Losses (35%)
Mandel Nallo
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency51%
Takedown Defense71%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy62%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Nate Landwehr
Mandel Nallo

Mandel Nallo against Nate Landwehr has a nasty question hanging over it before they even touch gloves: how do you attack when the last outing ended with you getting stopped? Nallo lost to Jai Herbert after taking punches on the ground in round 1, while Cub Swanson stopped Landwehr with a punch at distance in round 1. That makes the first clean exchange feel loaded. Landwehr's current run is rough: stoppage defeats to Dooho Choi, Morgan Charriere and Swanson, with nowhere to hide from that pattern.

Key Storylines
  • Nallo faces hard questions after Herbert's ground punches ended his last outing
  • Landwehr's three straight stoppage defeats make every clean exchange feel heavier
  • The longer reach gives Nallo space that Landwehr needs to take away
Finishing Window

The opening round is the likeliest flashpoint, as Landwehr tries to cross Nallo's reach before either man has settled into the exchanges.

But remember his win over Jamall Emmers, when a punch at distance ended things in round 1. The same kind of exchange that has hurt him can still be a dangerous place for an opponent. Nallo has the longer reach, so the obvious job is to make Landwehr pay for stepping into range without standing still for the reply. Landwehr needs to get past those longer shots with his guard intact, then keep his own punches short enough to land before Nallo moves away.

And if they hit the mat, Herbert's finish is a reminder that Nallo cannot treat the ground as a safe escape. In Edmonton, the real hook is what each man changes after getting hurt and how those adjustments hold up under pressure. Watch the resets after an exchange, because charging straight back into range could make this wild fast.

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Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo Stats Comparison

Age
38
•
37
Height
5'9" (175 cm)
•
6'0" (183 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
•
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
•
75" (191 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.0 significant strikes/min

Mandel Nallo averages 8.6 significant strikes per minute while Nate Landwehr sits at 5.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Nate Landwehr and Mandel Nallo, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Landwehr vs Nallo odds

Live Polymarket odds for Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Landwehr vs Nallo

Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo is on the UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card on Oct 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Landwehr vs Nallo: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events