UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026In 58 daysRogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Nate Landwehr 5.6 SLpM, Mandel Nallo 8.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Nate Landwehr 45%, Mandel Nallo 62%
  • Damage Avoidance: Nate Landwehr 5.8 abs/min, Mandel Nallo 2.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Nate Landwehr 41%, Mandel Nallo —
  • Takedown Defense: Nate Landwehr 71%, Mandel Nallo 100%
  • Submission Threat: Nate Landwehr 0.8 per 15m, Mandel Nallo —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Nate Landwehr
Mandel Nallo

Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Nate Landwehr
5-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (13%)
Sub (26%)
Decision (26%)
Losses (35%)
Mandel Nallo
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency51%
Takedown Defense71%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy62%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Nate Landwehr
Mandel Nallo

Nate Landwehr is in a rough spot right now. The Train has dropped three straight, all by knockout, and that last one against Cub Swanson in April was brutal. Got caught with a clean punch at distance just over four minutes into the fight. Before that, Morgan Charriere finished him in the third round, and Dooho Choi got him with nasty elbows from crucifix position. When you're getting stopped in different ways like that, people start wondering if the chin is cracked. Mandel Nallo isn't exactly riding high either.

Key Storylines
  • Landwehr trying to snap brutal three fight knockout losing streak
  • Nallo drops back to featherweight after lightweight knockout loss
  • Both fighters desperately need a win in Edmonton
Finishing Window

Expect fireworks early because neither guy can afford to play it safe, and someone's getting finished before the final bell.

Mango just got starched by Jai Herbert in the first round back in April, eating ground and pound that ended things in just over two minutes. That was at lightweight though, so now he's dropping back down to featherweight to meet Landwehr at UFC Edmonton in October. Both guys are desperate for a win here. Here's the thing about this matchup. Landwehr is a wild brawler who brings chaos every time he steps in there. When he knocked out Jamall Emmers back in March 2024, landing 37 strikes in under five minutes, that was vintage Train.

But lately he's been on the wrong end of the violence. Nallo needs to figure out if he can handle the pressure without gassing or getting caught himself. This is a straight up must win situation for both fighters. Landwehr can't afford a four fight skid, and Nallo needs to prove that lightweight loss was just a bad night at the wrong weight class.

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Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo Stats Comparison

Age
38
37
Height
5'9" (175 cm)
6'0" (183 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
75" (191 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.0 significant strikes/min

Mandel Nallo averages 8.6 significant strikes per minute while Nate Landwehr sits at 5.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Nate Landwehr and Mandel Nallo, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Landwehr vs Nallo odds

Live Polymarket odds for Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Landwehr vs Nallo

Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo is on the UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott card on Oct 17, 2026 at Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Landwehr vs Nallo: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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