UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026In 70 daysRogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Joaquin Buckley 3.9 SLpM, Mike Malott 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Joaquin Buckley 36%, Mike Malott 48%
  • Damage Avoidance: Joaquin Buckley 2.9 abs/min, Mike Malott 3.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Joaquin Buckley 45%, Mike Malott 50%
  • Takedown Defense: Joaquin Buckley 72%, Mike Malott 14%
  • Submission Threat: Joaquin Buckley 0.1 per 15m, Mike Malott 0.8 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joaquin Buckley
Mike Malott

Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Joaquin Buckley
11-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (40%)
Decision (34%)
Losses (26%)
Mike Malott
7-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (38%)
Sub (25%)
Decision (25%)
Losses (11%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense72%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency60%
Takedown Defense14%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Joaquin Buckley
Mike Malott

Canada's getting a proper main event on home soil as Mike Malott headlines UFC Edmonton against Joaquin Buckley on October 17. Malott's been on an absolute tear lately, finishing Gilbert Burns with ground and pound in Winnipeg back in April, then outworking Kevin Holland on the feet in Vancouver. The Canadian crowd is going to be insane for this one, and Malott's riding serious momentum with four straight wins. Buckley's in a different spot right now. After that wild doctor stoppage win over Colby Covington in Tampa and knocking out Stephen Thompson, he's dropped two straight decisions to Sean Brady and Kamaru Usman.

Key Storylines
  • Malott riding four fight win streak on Canadian soil
  • Buckley needs to snap two fight losing skid badly
  • Home crowd energy could be massive factor for Malott
Finishing Window

If Malott's going to get the finish, it happens in round two or three when he starts mixing in those takedowns and wearing Buckley down.

Those are tough losses against elite competition, but back to back Ls at welterweight means he needs this win badly. The guy can still crack though, that Thompson knockout proved he's dangerous as hell. This matchup is fascinating because Malott's been finishing guys left and right while Buckley's been going deep into fights with top contenders. Malott's got slick grappling and heavy hands, landing that Burns finish on the ground after setting it up with strikes. Buckley's a southpaw brawler who can explode at any moment, but he's been getting outworked in the later rounds lately.

The question is whether Buckley's experience against that higher level of competition gives him the edge, or if Malott's hot streak and home crowd energy carries him to another finish. For Malott, this is his chance to prove he belongs in the rankings. For Buckley, it's about stopping the skid before it becomes a real problem.

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Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Stats Comparison

Age
32
34
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
6'1" (185 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
76" (193 cm)
73" (185 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Joaquin Buckley and Mike Malott, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Buckley vs Malott odds

Live Polymarket odds for Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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