UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026TomorrowShanghai, China
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Aoriqileng Aoriqileng 4.7 SLpM, Kai Asakura 2.3 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Aoriqileng Aoriqileng 49%, Kai Asakura 32%
  • Damage Avoidance: Aoriqileng Aoriqileng 5.5 abs/min, Kai Asakura 3.5 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Aoriqileng Aoriqileng 46%, Kai Asakura —
  • Takedown Defense: Aoriqileng Aoriqileng 58%, Kai Asakura 50%
  • Submission Threat: Aoriqileng Aoriqileng —, Kai Asakura —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng
Kai Asakura

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng
4-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (33%)
Decision (33%)
Losses (33%)
No Contest (1)
Kai Asakura
1-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (60%)
Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%
Grappling Efficiency46%
Takedown Defense58%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy32%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng
Kai Asakura
Betting odds

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura sportsbook odds

Kai Asakura is the betting favourite at -460 (1.22), with Aoriqileng Aoriqileng priced at +358 (4.58). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng

Implied 21.8%Line shortening
+3584.58

Kai Asakura

FavouriteImplied 82.1%
-4601.22

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Okay so UFC Shanghai is stacked and this bantamweight fight between Kai Asakura and the Mongolian Murderer Aoriqileng is one everyone needs to have on their radar. Asakura showed up to media day in Shanghai absolutely dripping with confidence, straight up vowing to knock Aoriqileng out and promising fans a brand new combination they haven't seen from him before. That kind of energy gets people talking. Here's the thing about Asakura's journey to get here. He got submitted by Pantoja in a flyweight title shot at UFC 310, then went back down and got caught in a guillotine choke from mount by Tim Elliott at UFC 319.

Key Storylines
  • Asakura promises a mystery new combination nobody has seen
  • Both fighters bouncing back from recent KO losses
  • Asakura's bantamweight debut worked, can he build on it
Finishing Window

If either guy lands clean early, this thing could be over before round two even gets going.

That's a rough stretch. But he bounced back at the last UFC Fight Night in Macau, moving up to bantamweight and stopping Cameron Smotherman with punches in round one. New weight class, new energy, and now he's out here talking about new combinations. Aoriqileng is no joke though. The Mongolian Murderer put Cody Gibson to sleep in just 21 seconds at the Vancouver card last October, which is the kind of finish that makes the whole MMA community sit up straight.

But then he got stopped by a knee to the body in the clinch against Cody Haddon back in May. So both these guys have some recent losses they're trying to shake off. Everyone's wondering if Asakura's bantamweight move is the fresh start he needed, and whether that mystery new combination he's been hyping actually lands Saturday night in Shanghai.

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Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura Stats Comparison

Age
33
32
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
5'8" (173 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.4 significant strikes/min

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Kai Asakura sits at 2.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Aoriqileng Aoriqileng and Kai Asakura, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Aoriqileng vs Asakura odds

Live Polymarket odds for Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Aoriqileng vs Asakura

Aoriqileng Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura is on the UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song card on Aug 29, 2026 at Shanghai, China. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Aoriqileng vs Asakura: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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