UFC 331
Sep 19, 2026• In 30 days
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Sean Sharaf 7.4 SLpM, Gable Steveson —
  • Striking Accuracy: Sean Sharaf 43%, Gable Steveson —
  • Damage Avoidance: Sean Sharaf 15.0 abs/min, Gable Steveson —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Sean Sharaf 11%, Gable Steveson —
  • Takedown Defense: Sean Sharaf —, Gable Steveson —
  • Submission Threat: Sean Sharaf —, Gable Steveson —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Sean Sharaf
Gable Steveson

Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Sean Sharaf
0-2UFC Record
Losses (100%)
Gable Steveson
1-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ65%

Last Opponents

Sean Sharaf
Gable Steveson
Betting odds

Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson sportsbook odds

Gable Steveson is the betting favourite at -1500 (1.07), with Sean Sharaf priced at +600 (7.00). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Sean Sharaf

Implied 14.3%Line shortening
+6007.00

Gable Steveson

FavouriteImplied 93.7%Line drifting
-15001.07

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Olympic gold medalist Gable Steveson is back, and the heavyweight division is about to find out if the hype is real. After that first round knockout of Elisha Ellison back in July, Steveson gets another chance to show he's more than just wrestling credentials. He landed 41 of 57 strikes in that debut, finished it in under three minutes with punches, and looked like someone who actually belongs in the Octagon. Sean "The Smoke" Sharaf is walking into this one on a rough skid. He got stopped by Junior Tafa in October 2024, then took another knockout loss to Steven Asplund last December. Both times, punches to the head in round two.

Key Storylines
  • Olympic champ looks to build momentum after debut knockout
  • Sharaf hunting first UFC win after back to back stoppages
  • Can Steveson's wrestling translate when the fight gets messy
Finishing Window

If Steveson's going to get it done early, watch that first round when his speed and power are freshest.

That's a scary pattern when you're facing a guy with Steveson's athleticism and power. Sharaf showed some heart against Tafa, landing 54 strikes and mixing in a takedown, but he's been getting caught when the pressure ramps up. Here's the thing about Steveson though. We've only seen five minutes of him in the UFC. That wrestling base is legit, obviously, but can he keep that striking sharp for fifteen minutes? Can he deal with a guy who's been in deeper waters?

Sharaf knows what it's like to survive into the second round at heavyweight, and that experience could matter if this thing goes past the early chaos. This is a massive fight for both guys. Steveson needs to prove the debut wasn't a fluke. Sharaf desperately needs a win before the UFC loses patience. Someone's 2026 is about to get a whole lot better in Los Angeles.

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Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson Stats Comparison

Age
33
•
26
Height
6'3" (191 cm)
•
6'1" (185 cm)
Weight
252 lbs (114 kg)
•
265 lbs (120 kg)
Reach
77" (196 cm)
•
—
Stance
Orthodox
•
—
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson AI Analysis

Pace delta

Limited volume data in the official feed for this matchup.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Sean Sharaf and Gable Steveson, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Sharaf vs Steveson odds

Live Polymarket odds for Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Sharaf vs Steveson

Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson is on the UFC 331 card on Sep 19, 2026. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Sharaf vs Steveson: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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