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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Said Nurmagomedov is in a rough spot right now. The Russian just dropped back to back decisions, first to Vinicius Oliveira in February 2025, then to Bryce Mitchell this past July. That's a tough slide for anyone, especially when you're trying to make noise in the bantamweight division. Meanwhile, Javid Basharat is coming off his own struggles. The Snow Leopard got knocked out by Ricky Simon in February, then lost a decision to Aiemann Zahabi back in March 2024. Both guys need this win badly as they head into UFC Vegas 113 this Saturday night. Here's the thing, though.
If Nurmagomedov gets a neck, it's over fast, but if Basharat survives the early grappling exchanges, the later rounds could get wild.
Nurmagomedov's losses weren't because he got dominated. He landed 100 strikes on 79% accuracy against Mitchell, showing his striking is still sharp. Before these setbacks, he was finishing dudes with guillotines, choking out Saidyokub Kakhramonov and Muin Gafurov in brutal fashion. Basharat showed crazy volume against Mateus Mendonca back in 2023, landing 125 strikes with 76% accuracy and mixing in takedowns. When he's on, he's dangerous. The technical matchup is interesting because both guys are orthodox strikers who can grapple. Nurmagomedov's guillotine is legit scary.
He's finished two fights with it. Basharat's more of a volume guy who'll try to drown you with output and control time. He had over five minutes of control against Mendonca. The question is whether Said can find that finish again or if Javid can push the pace for fifteen minutes. This is a must win situation for both. Lose three straight and you're in real trouble in this division. The fight goes down Saturday night on the prelims.
Said Nurmagomedov finish map
Said Nurmagomedov breakdown
Said Nurmagomedov's recent form
Said Nurmagomedov is in a rough spot right now. The Russian just dropped back to back decisions, first to Vinicius Oliveira in February 2025, then to Bryce Mitchell this past July. That's a tough slide for anyone, especially when you're trying to make noise in the bantamweight division. Meanwhile, Javid Basharat is coming off his own struggles. The Snow Leopard got knocked out by Ricky Simon in February, then lost a decision to Aiemann Zahabi back in March 2024. Both guys need this win badly as they head into UFC Vegas 113 this Saturday night. Here's the thing, though.
If Nurmagomedov gets a neck, it's over fast, but if Basharat survives the early grappling exchanges, the later rounds could get wild.
Nurmagomedov's losses weren't because he got dominated. He landed 100 strikes on 79% accuracy against Mitchell, showing his striking is still sharp. Before these setbacks, he was finishing dudes with guillotines, choking out Saidyokub Kakhramonov and Muin Gafurov in brutal fashion. Basharat showed crazy volume against Mateus Mendonca back in 2023, landing 125 strikes with 76% accuracy and mixing in takedowns. When he's on, he's dangerous. The technical matchup is interesting because both guys are orthodox strikers who can grapple. Nurmagomedov's guillotine is legit scary.
He's finished two fights with it. Basharat's more of a volume guy who'll try to drown you with output and control time. He had over five minutes of control against Mendonca. The question is whether Said can find that finish again or if Javid can push the pace for fifteen minutes. This is a must win situation for both. Lose three straight and you're in real trouble in this division. The fight goes down Saturday night on the prelims.
Javid Basharat finish map
Javid Basharat breakdown
Javid Basharat's recent form
Pace delta
+2.3 significant strikes/min
Javid Basharat averages 5.4 significant strikes per minute while Said Nurmagomedov sits at 3.1.
AI confidence
84%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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