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UFC 335
Dec 12, 2026• In 68 daysT-Mobile
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Alex Pereira 5.2 SLpM, Sergei Pavlovich 4.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Alex Pereira 62%, Sergei Pavlovich 44%
  • Damage Avoidance: Alex Pereira 3.5 abs/min, Sergei Pavlovich 3.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Alex Pereira 50%, Sergei Pavlovich 25%
  • Takedown Defense: Alex Pereira 79%, Sergei Pavlovich 75%
  • Submission Threat: Alex Pereira 0.2 per 15m, Sergei Pavlovich —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alex Pereira
Sergei Pavlovich

Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alex Pereira
10-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (65%)
Decision (16%)
Losses (19%)
Sergei Pavlovich
9-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (62%)
Decision (18%)
Losses (20%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy62%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense79%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense75%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Alex Pereira
Sergei Pavlovich

Alex Pereira against Sergei Pavlovich at UFC 335 is the sort of booking that makes you stop scrolling and picture the first exchange. Pereira is coming off a stoppage loss to Ciryl Gane, while Pavlovich arrives with winning momentum and the kind of power that turns an ordinary exchange into a very bad idea. Remember Pereira getting Magomed Ankalaev back with elbows from half guard in round 1? That win came between his unanimous decision loss to Ankalaev and his round 2 defeat against Gane, so the recent story has been anything but smooth.

Key Storylines
  • Pereira returns after the Gane setback with another dangerous heavyweight waiting
  • Pavlovich followed decision wins with a nasty Tallison Teixeira stoppage
  • An 84 inch reach makes Pereira’s entries and exits worth watching
Finishing Window

The fight could break open in the opening rounds as they test range, because a mistimed entry can leave either man exposed to a clean counter.

Pavlovich has put together wins over Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Waldo Cortes Acosta by unanimous decision, then stopped Tallison Teixeira in round 1. Here’s the thing: Pavlovich has an 84 inch reach against Pereira’s 79 inches, so distance is a big part of this conversation before anyone throws a punch. Pereira needs clean entries and a safe exit after landing, because hanging around in punching range gives Pavlovich chances to answer. Pavlovich needs to make that extra reach count without reaching so far that he opens himself up to Pereira’s counters.

Both men do most of their work standing, but Pavlovich’s decision wins also give this fight a story beyond early power. For Pereira, the big question is how he handles another dangerous heavyweight after the Gane setback, especially if the opening exchanges fail to settle anything.

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Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich Stats Comparison

Age
39
•
34
Height
6'4" (193 cm)
•
6'3" (191 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
•
257 lbs (117 kg)
Reach
79" (201 cm)
•
84" (213 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.7 significant strikes/min

Alex Pereira averages 5.2 significant strikes per minute while Sergei Pavlovich sits at 4.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alex Pereira and Sergei Pavlovich, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Pereira vs Pavlovich odds

Live Polymarket odds for Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Pereira vs Pavlovich

Alex Pereira vs Sergei Pavlovich is on the UFC 335 card on Dec 12, 2026 at T-Mobile. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Pereira vs Pavlovich: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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