AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
This fight just got way more interesting. Carol Foro was supposed to face Stephanie Luciano, but she popped for a diuretic and got yanked from the card. Now Alexia Thainara steps in for her UFC debut, and honestly, this matchup makes more sense. Both Brazilian strawweights are coming in hot, and someone's hype train is getting derailed in Seattle. Luciano has been on a rollercoaster lately.
If this hits the third round, expect someone to shoot for a finish with that rear naked choke both love.
She bounced back from that split decision loss to Sam Hughes by dominating Talita Alencar on the feet, then just last October in Vancouver she locked up a rear naked choke on Ravena Oliveira in the third round. That submission win showed she's got finishing instincts when the fight goes deep. Thainara, meanwhile, has been scary good. She choked out Molly McCann in the first round back in March 2025 in London, then went to Australia and outworked Loma Lookboonmee for a clean decision win. Here's what makes this fun: both ladies are Orthodox strikers who aren't afraid to grapple.
Luciano landed 80 strikes and hit three takedowns in that Vancouver fight, showing she can mix it up. Thainara proved she's got slick submissions and the cardio to push a pace for fifteen minutes. This feels like a fight that stays standing early but could hit the mat hard once someone starts to fade. Whoever wins this is making a real statement in the strawweight division. Both are trying to crack that top fifteen, and a finish here would turn heads.
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Stephanie Luciano finish map

Stephanie Luciano breakdown
Stephanie Luciano's recent form
This fight just got way more interesting. Carol Foro was supposed to face Stephanie Luciano, but she popped for a diuretic and got yanked from the card. Now Alexia Thainara steps in for her UFC debut, and honestly, this matchup makes more sense. Both Brazilian strawweights are coming in hot, and someone's hype train is getting derailed in Seattle. Luciano has been on a rollercoaster lately.
If this hits the third round, expect someone to shoot for a finish with that rear naked choke both love.
She bounced back from that split decision loss to Sam Hughes by dominating Talita Alencar on the feet, then just last October in Vancouver she locked up a rear naked choke on Ravena Oliveira in the third round. That submission win showed she's got finishing instincts when the fight goes deep. Thainara, meanwhile, has been scary good. She choked out Molly McCann in the first round back in March 2025 in London, then went to Australia and outworked Loma Lookboonmee for a clean decision win. Here's what makes this fun: both ladies are Orthodox strikers who aren't afraid to grapple.
Luciano landed 80 strikes and hit three takedowns in that Vancouver fight, showing she can mix it up. Thainara proved she's got slick submissions and the cardio to push a pace for fifteen minutes. This feels like a fight that stays standing early but could hit the mat hard once someone starts to fade. Whoever wins this is making a real statement in the strawweight division. Both are trying to crack that top fifteen, and a finish here would turn heads.
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Alexia Thainara finish map

Alexia Thainara breakdown
Alexia Thainara's recent form
Pace delta
+0.7 significant strikes/min
Stephanie Luciano averages 5.2 significant strikes per minute while Alexia Thainara sits at 4.5.
AI confidence
88%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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