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UFC Record Breakdown
This is the fight everyone's been circling on the calendar. Jack Della Maddalena was riding high after beating Belal Muhammad for the welterweight title, then ran into Islam Makhachev's wrestling buzzsaw in November. Now he's back home in Perth, looking to remind everyone why he's one of the scariest strikers at 170. Carlos Prates? Dude's been on an absolute tear, sleeping guys left and right. That spinning back elbow that flatlined Geoff Neal in the first round was pure violence, and knocking out Leon Edwards in round two showed he's ready for anyone.
Both guys have finished fights in rounds one through three, so expect fireworks early before someone's lights go out.
Here's the thing though. Prates hit his first speed bump against Ian Machado Garry, going five hard rounds and losing a decision. That fight showed he can be outworked when someone makes him grind. Della Maddalena knows all about grinding. Remember when he stopped Gilbert Burns with those nasty ground elbows? The Aussie can switch stances, mix up his attacks, and he's got that dog in him that comes from training at Scrappy MMA.
Both guys are switch stance strikers who love to find the finish. Prates has that Brazilian Muay Thai from Vale Top Team, all sharp and technical. Jack's more of a brawler who can box your face off or take you down and make you suffer. The real question is whether Prates can handle the pressure in enemy territory after that loss to Garry, or if Della Maddalena's chin holds up after eating shots from Islam for five rounds.
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Jack Maddalena breakdown
Jack Maddalena's recent form
This is the fight everyone's been circling on the calendar. Jack Della Maddalena was riding high after beating Belal Muhammad for the welterweight title, then ran into Islam Makhachev's wrestling buzzsaw in November. Now he's back home in Perth, looking to remind everyone why he's one of the scariest strikers at 170. Carlos Prates? Dude's been on an absolute tear, sleeping guys left and right. That spinning back elbow that flatlined Geoff Neal in the first round was pure violence, and knocking out Leon Edwards in round two showed he's ready for anyone.
Both guys have finished fights in rounds one through three, so expect fireworks early before someone's lights go out.
Here's the thing though. Prates hit his first speed bump against Ian Machado Garry, going five hard rounds and losing a decision. That fight showed he can be outworked when someone makes him grind. Della Maddalena knows all about grinding. Remember when he stopped Gilbert Burns with those nasty ground elbows? The Aussie can switch stances, mix up his attacks, and he's got that dog in him that comes from training at Scrappy MMA.
Both guys are switch stance strikers who love to find the finish. Prates has that Brazilian Muay Thai from Vale Top Team, all sharp and technical. Jack's more of a brawler who can box your face off or take you down and make you suffer. The real question is whether Prates can handle the pressure in enemy territory after that loss to Garry, or if Della Maddalena's chin holds up after eating shots from Islam for five rounds.
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Carlos Prates finish map
Carlos Prates breakdown
Carlos Prates's recent form
Pace delta
+3.0 significant strikes/min
Jack Maddalena averages 6.8 significant strikes per minute while Carlos Prates sits at 3.8.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Jack Maddalena vs Carlos Prates odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
