Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa

May 16, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Tuco Tokkos

Record: 11-6-0

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Ivan Erslan

Record: 15-6-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tuco Tokkos

Ivan Erslan

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tuco Tokkos

Ivan Erslan

Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tuco Tokkos

Sub (57%)

Losses (43%)

Ivan Erslan

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense33%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Tuco Tokkos

Ivan Erslan

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From opening bell, Tuco Tokkos can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.6 significant strikes per minute while Ivan Erslan looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (57%)

Losses (43%)

Tuco Tokkos breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense33%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Tuco Tokkos's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Ivan Erslan must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Ivan Erslan owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (37%) but must solve the 33% sprawl from Tuco Tokkos.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Ivan Erslan

Ivan Erslan finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Ivan Erslan breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Ivan Erslan's recent form

Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'4" (193 cm)

•

6'2" (188 cm)

Weight

205 lbs (93 kg)

•

205 lbs (93 kg)

Reach

76" (193 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tuco Tokkos and Ivan Erslan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Tokkos vs Erslan odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Tokkos vs Erslan

Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan is on the UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa card on May 16, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Tokkos vs Erslan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.