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UFC Record Breakdown
Brunno Ferreira just took a brutal knockout loss to Gregory Rodrigues in March, getting caught with a punch just under two minutes into the first round. That's a tough way to bounce back from beating Marvin Vettori by decision last December. Meanwhile, Ikram Aliskerov has been on a tear since getting starched by Robert Whittaker back in June 2024. He knocked out Andre Muniz in the first round, then went three rounds with JunYong Park in October, landing 126 strikes and controlling the fight for over six minutes. Here's the thing about Ferreira.
First round is absolutely critical as both guys have shown they can end it early or get caught themselves.
The Brazilian has serious submission skills, tapping out Jackson McVey with an armbar in round one and catching Armen Petrosyan from bottom guard. But he's also been submitted himself by Abus Magomedov in round three. That inconsistency is scary when you're facing someone like Aliskerov who can crack. Aliskerov brings that Dagestani pressure and volume striking. When he knocked out Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves in back to back first round finishes in 2023, everyone thought he was the next big thing at middleweight.
The Whittaker loss was a setback, but he's rebuilt momentum. Ferreira's grappling could be the equalizer if he can survive the early storm and drag this to the mat. Both guys have shown they can finish fights violently, and both have been finished recently. Someone's getting hurt.
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Brunno Ferreira breakdown
Brunno Ferreira's recent form
Brunno Ferreira just took a brutal knockout loss to Gregory Rodrigues in March, getting caught with a punch just under two minutes into the first round. That's a tough way to bounce back from beating Marvin Vettori by decision last December. Meanwhile, Ikram Aliskerov has been on a tear since getting starched by Robert Whittaker back in June 2024. He knocked out Andre Muniz in the first round, then went three rounds with JunYong Park in October, landing 126 strikes and controlling the fight for over six minutes. Here's the thing about Ferreira.
First round is absolutely critical as both guys have shown they can end it early or get caught themselves.
The Brazilian has serious submission skills, tapping out Jackson McVey with an armbar in round one and catching Armen Petrosyan from bottom guard. But he's also been submitted himself by Abus Magomedov in round three. That inconsistency is scary when you're facing someone like Aliskerov who can crack. Aliskerov brings that Dagestani pressure and volume striking. When he knocked out Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves in back to back first round finishes in 2023, everyone thought he was the next big thing at middleweight.
The Whittaker loss was a setback, but he's rebuilt momentum. Ferreira's grappling could be the equalizer if he can survive the early storm and drag this to the mat. Both guys have shown they can finish fights violently, and both have been finished recently. Someone's getting hurt.
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Gregory Rodrigues finish map
Gregory Rodrigues breakdown
Gregory Rodrigues's recent form
Pace delta
+1.7 significant strikes/min
Gregory Rodrigues averages 5.6 significant strikes per minute while Brunno Ferreira sits at 3.9.
AI confidence
77%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Brunno Ferreira vs Gregory Rodrigues odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
