Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes

UFC Freedom 250

Jun 14, 2026Washington, DC, USA

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Steve Garcia

Record: 19-6-0

agentmma.com

Diego Lopes

Record: 28-8-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Steve Garcia

Diego Lopes

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Steve Garcia

Diego Lopes

Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Steve Garcia

KO/TKO (69%)

Decision (10%)

Losses (21%)

Diego Lopes

KO/TKO (44%)

Sub (11%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (23%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense88%

Cardio & Endurance71%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Steve Garcia

Diego Lopes

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From opening bell, Steve Garcia can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.4 significant strikes per minute while Diego Lopes looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Steve Garcia

Steve Garcia finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (69%)

Decision (10%)

Losses (21%)

Steve Garcia breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense88%

Cardio & Endurance71%

Fight IQ85%

Steve Garcia's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Diego Lopes must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Diego Lopes owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 88% sprawl from Steve Garcia.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Diego Lopes

Diego Lopes finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (44%)

Sub (11%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (23%)

Diego Lopes breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Diego Lopes's recent form

Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'0" (183 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

75" (191 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.6 significant strikes/min

Steve Garcia averages 5.4 significant strikes per minute while Diego Lopes sits at 3.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Steve Garcia
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	4-1-0	8-3-0
Wins inside the distance	3 (75%)	7 (88%)
KO/TKO wins	3	7
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	6:22	6:11
Total strikes landed per min	8.72	7.94
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.00	1.31
Control time per 15 min	2:02	3:12

Diego Lopes
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	3-2-0	7-3-0
Wins inside the distance	2 (67%)	5 (71%)
KO/TKO wins	2	4
Submission wins	0	1
Average fight time	16:30	11:43
Total strikes landed per min	3.78	3.69
Takedowns landed per 15 min	1.11	0.88
Control time per 15 min	1:02	0:57

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Steve Garcia 8/11, Diego Lopes 7/10.

Steve Garcia and Diego Lopes: common opponents

Steve Garcia and Diego Lopes have no common UFC opponents yet.

Previous meetings

Steve Garcia: Loss KO/TKO, R2 · UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 2026

Steve Garcia: last 5 UFC fights

LossDiego LopesKO/TKO, R2· UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 2026
WinDavid OnamaKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 2025
WinCalvin KattarDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 2025
WinKyle NelsonKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 2024
WinSeungWoo ChoiKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 2024

Diego Lopes: last 5 UFC fights

WinSteve GarciaKO/TKO, R2· UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 2026
LossAlexander VolkanovskiDecision – Unanimous· UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Jan 2026
WinJean SilvaKO/TKO, R2· Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 2025
LossAlexander VolkanovskiDecision – Unanimous· UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 2025
WinBrian OrtegaDecision – Unanimous· UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · Sep 2024

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Steve Garcia and Diego Lopes, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Garcia vs Lopes odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Garcia vs Lopes

Steve Garcia vs Diego Lopes is on the UFC Freedom 250 card on Jun 14, 2026 at Washington, DC, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Garcia vs Lopes: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.