Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

Apr 25, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Alexander Hernandez

Record: 18-9-0

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Rafa Garcia

Record: 19-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alexander Hernandez

Rafa Garcia

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alexander Hernandez

Rafa Garcia

Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alexander Hernandez

KO/TKO (35%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (31%)

Rafa Garcia

KO/TKO (10%)

Sub (10%)

Decision (52%)

Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense73%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense76%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Alexander Hernandez

Rafa Garcia

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From opening bell, Alexander Hernandez can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Rafa Garcia looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Alexander Hernandez

Alexander Hernandez finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (35%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (31%)

Alexander Hernandez breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense73%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Alexander Hernandez's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Rafa Garcia must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Rafa Garcia owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (44%) but must solve the 73% sprawl from Alexander Hernandez.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:3

Rafa Garcia

Rafa Garcia finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (10%)

Sub (10%)

Decision (52%)

Losses (27%)

Rafa Garcia breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense76%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ80%

Rafa Garcia's recent form

Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

72" (183 cm)

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alexander Hernandez and Rafa Garcia, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Hernandez vs Garcia odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Hernandez vs Garcia

Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia is on the UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal card on Apr 25, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Hernandez vs Garcia: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.