UFC Fight Night
Sep 5, 2026In 47 daysAccor Arena, Paris, France
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Mario Pinto 2.9 SLpM, Ryan Spann 3.2 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Mario Pinto 69%, Ryan Spann 39%
  • Damage Avoidance: Mario Pinto 1.9 abs/min, Ryan Spann 4.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Mario Pinto 26%, Ryan Spann 34%
  • Takedown Defense: Mario Pinto 100%, Ryan Spann 52%
  • Submission Threat: Mario Pinto 0.9 per 15m, Ryan Spann 1.8 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mario Pinto
Ryan Spann

Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Mario Pinto
3-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (67%)
Decision (33%)
Ryan Spann
10-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (29%)
Sub (29%)
Decision (15%)
Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy69%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ95%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%
Grappling Efficiency48%
Takedown Defense52%
Cardio & Endurance72%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Mario Pinto
Ryan Spann

This heavyweight scrap just got official for UFC Paris in September, and it's a wild one. You've got Mario Pinto, the Portuguese prospect who's been absolutely crushing it with three straight UFC wins, going up against Ryan Spann, who's making the jump from light heavyweight. Pinto's been on a tear lately, knocking out Jhonata Diniz with ground and pound back in October and then starching Austen Lane in just 39 seconds this past March. The dude's got serious finishing power. Spann brings a totally different vibe to this fight. "Superman" has been bouncing around the division with mixed results, but when he's on, he's dangerous as hell. He's coming off back to back wins at heavyweight, including that slick standing guillotine that put away Lukasz Brzeski in under three minutes at UFC 318.

Key Storylines
  • Pinto's knockout streak meets Spann's guillotine game
  • Superman moving up from 205 looking for heavyweight momentum
  • Portuguese prospect hunting fourth straight UFC finish
Finishing Window

Both guys have been finishing fights in round two lately, so expect fireworks once they settle in and someone makes a mistake.

That's the same choke he used to finish Ovince Saint Preux before that. The guy's got a knack for finding necks when you least expect it. Here's the thing though. Spann's had some rough nights when guys pressure him and get him on the back foot. Waldo Cortes Acosta pounded him out from guard, and Bogdan Guskov did the same thing. Pinto's shown he can work from top position, landing 137 strikes and controlling for over six minutes in his decision win over Felipe Franco.

If he can get Spann down and keep him there, this could get ugly. The real question is whether Pinto can avoid that guillotine. Spann's snatched two straight standing guillotines at heavyweight, and that's his money move right now. But Pinto's been finishing guys left and right, and fighting in Paris is going to have the crowd going nuts.

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Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann Stats Comparison

Age
28
34
Height
6'5" (196 cm)
6'5" (196 cm)
Weight
265 lbs (120 kg)
205 lbs (93 kg)
Reach
79" (201 cm)
79" (201 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Ryan Spann averages 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Mario Pinto sits at 2.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Mario Pinto and Ryan Spann, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Pinto vs Spann odds

Live Polymarket odds for Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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