AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Melissa Mullins is coming off a tough decision loss to Daria Zhelezniakova back in June, but before that she was on a nice little run. That knockout of Klaudia Sygula in November 2024 showed she's got real power when she gets on top, those punches from back control were nasty. She's been trading wins and losses lately though, which puts some pressure on her here. Luana Carolina has been way more active but just hit a speed bump. She dropped a unanimous decision to Michelle Montague in September 2025, snapping her three fight win streak.
If Mullins gets top position in round two or three, that's when she's most dangerous with those ground strikes.
Before that rough night, her finish of Julija Stoliarenko in February 2024 was wild, she just kept pouring it on from side control until the ref had to step in. The Brazilian brings serious volume and cardio when she's on. Here's the thing, both these women are orthodox strikers who aren't afraid to get after it. Mullins has shown she can mix in takedowns when she needs them, hitting 50% against Zhelezniakova with over two minutes of control time. Carolina doesn't shoot much but her striking output is crazy high.
She threw 230 strikes against Stoliarenko and 222 against Joanne Wood. That pace could be a problem if Mullins can't slow her down. The English fighter needs to make this scrappy and find a way to get Carolina's back like she did against Sygula. Carolina's looking to bounce back from that Montague loss while Mullins has that Lions Gym toughness and finishing ability when opportunities show up. This one's got fireworks written all over it.
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Luana Carolina breakdown
Luana Carolina's recent form
Melissa Mullins is coming off a tough decision loss to Daria Zhelezniakova back in June, but before that she was on a nice little run. That knockout of Klaudia Sygula in November 2024 showed she's got real power when she gets on top, those punches from back control were nasty. She's been trading wins and losses lately though, which puts some pressure on her here. Luana Carolina has been way more active but just hit a speed bump. She dropped a unanimous decision to Michelle Montague in September 2025, snapping her three fight win streak.
If Mullins gets top position in round two or three, that's when she's most dangerous with those ground strikes.
Before that rough night, her finish of Julija Stoliarenko in February 2024 was wild, she just kept pouring it on from side control until the ref had to step in. The Brazilian brings serious volume and cardio when she's on. Here's the thing, both these women are orthodox strikers who aren't afraid to get after it. Mullins has shown she can mix in takedowns when she needs them, hitting 50% against Zhelezniakova with over two minutes of control time. Carolina doesn't shoot much but her striking output is crazy high.
She threw 230 strikes against Stoliarenko and 222 against Joanne Wood. That pace could be a problem if Mullins can't slow her down. The English fighter needs to make this scrappy and find a way to get Carolina's back like she did against Sygula. Carolina's looking to bounce back from that Montague loss while Mullins has that Lions Gym toughness and finishing ability when opportunities show up. This one's got fireworks written all over it.
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Melissa Mullins breakdown
Melissa Mullins's recent form
Pace delta
+1.2 significant strikes/min
Luana Carolina averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Melissa Mullins sits at 3.4.
AI confidence
83%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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