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UFC Record Breakdown
King Green is riding serious momentum right now. After getting starched by Mauricio Ruffy's wheel kick and submitted by Paddy Pimblett, he bounced back huge. Split decision over Lance Gibson Jr. in December, then a nasty second round TKO of Daniel Zellhuber in Mexico City just a few months ago. That's two straight wins and he's looking to make it three against a legend. Jeremy Stephens is in a rough spot. Lil' Heathen hasn't won a fight since 2018, and his recent run has been brutal.
If Stephens is gonna land that big shot, it needs to happen early before Green's pace takes over in rounds two and three.
Mateusz Gamrot submitted him in just over a minute back in 2021. Calvin Kattar dropped him with an elbow in 2020. Most recently, Mason Jones outpointed him last May. At 39 years old, Stephens is trying to prove he's still got something left, but the clock is ticking loud. This is a classic striker versus striker battle, both guys are orthodox and love to throw down. Green showed at UFC 300 he can push a crazy pace, landing 187 strikes against Jim Miller.
Stephens has always been dangerous with his power, but the question is whether that old school toughness can hang with a younger, hungrier fighter who's finding his groove. Green's been finished before, so Stephens definitely has a path if he can land clean early. For Green, this is about building a real streak. For Stephens, it's about proving the old dog still has bite. Fans are watching to see if this becomes a changing of the guard moment or if experience pulls off the upset.
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Jeremy Stephens breakdown
Jeremy Stephens's recent form
King Green is riding serious momentum right now. After getting starched by Mauricio Ruffy's wheel kick and submitted by Paddy Pimblett, he bounced back huge. Split decision over Lance Gibson Jr. in December, then a nasty second round TKO of Daniel Zellhuber in Mexico City just a few months ago. That's two straight wins and he's looking to make it three against a legend. Jeremy Stephens is in a rough spot. Lil' Heathen hasn't won a fight since 2018, and his recent run has been brutal.
If Stephens is gonna land that big shot, it needs to happen early before Green's pace takes over in rounds two and three.
Mateusz Gamrot submitted him in just over a minute back in 2021. Calvin Kattar dropped him with an elbow in 2020. Most recently, Mason Jones outpointed him last May. At 39 years old, Stephens is trying to prove he's still got something left, but the clock is ticking loud. This is a classic striker versus striker battle, both guys are orthodox and love to throw down. Green showed at UFC 300 he can push a crazy pace, landing 187 strikes against Jim Miller.
Stephens has always been dangerous with his power, but the question is whether that old school toughness can hang with a younger, hungrier fighter who's finding his groove. Green's been finished before, so Stephens definitely has a path if he can land clean early. For Green, this is about building a real streak. For Stephens, it's about proving the old dog still has bite. Fans are watching to see if this becomes a changing of the guard moment or if experience pulls off the upset.
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King Green finish map
King Green breakdown
King Green's recent form
Pace delta
+3.2 significant strikes/min
King Green averages 6.4 significant strikes per minute while Jeremy Stephens sits at 3.1.
AI confidence
93%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Jeremy Stephens vs King Green odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
