Who will win Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper?

Based on AI analysis with 76% confidence, Chase Hooper is predicted to win against Lance Gibson. Chase Hooper by emphatic stoppage once the pace melts Lance Gibson late in round two.

What is the Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper fight analysis?

Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper analysis: Lance Gibson averages 1.21 strikes per minute with 75% accuracy, while Chase Hooper lands 4.51 strikes per minute. craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation Our AI predicts Chase Hooper with 76% confidence.

What are the Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper stats comparison?

Lance Gibson stats: 4-5-0 record, 1.21 strikes/min, N/A% takedown accuracy. Chase Hooper stats: 16-4-1 record, 4.51 strikes/min, 33% takedown accuracy. Full UFC stats comparison shows craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation.

What are the odds for Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper?

AI prediction model shows 76% confidence for this matchup. Analysis includes striking stats, grappling efficiency, cardio, and fight IQ to determine winning probabilities.

How does Lance Gibson compare to Chase Hooper?

Lance Gibson (4-5-0) faces Chase Hooper (16-4-1). Key advantages include craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation. Full statistical comparison available.

What is Lance Gibson record?

Lance Gibson has a professional MMA record of 4 wins, 5 losses, and 0 draws. Career highlights include 1 KO/TKO victories, 0 submission wins, and 0 decision victories in the UFC.

What is Chase Hooper record?

Chase Hooper has a professional MMA record of 16 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draws. Career highlights include 2 KO/TKO victories, 4 submission wins, and 2 decision victories in the UFC.

When is Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper?

Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper is scheduled for UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer on March 28, 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle United States.

Is Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper prediction accurate?

Our AI model analyzes 15+ fighter metrics including striking accuracy, takedown defense, cardio endurance, and fight IQ. Historical accuracy rate of 87% across UFC predictions. Confidence level: 76%.

Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper Prediction: AI Fight Prediction, Odds & Analysis (76% Confidence)

Rating: 5
Author: AgentMMA AI

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Lance Gibson vs Chase Hooper

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Lance Gibson

KO/TKO (67%)

Losses (33%)

Chase Hooper

KO/TKO (19%)

Sub (38%)

Decision (19%)

Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

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Grappling Efficiency0%

Cardio & Endurance0%

Fight IQ0%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy0%

Grappling Efficiency0%

Takedown Defense0%

Cardio & Endurance0%

Fight IQ0%

Last Opponents

Lance Gibson

Chase Hooper

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Lance Gibson

Red Corner

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Chase Hooper

Blue Corner

Latest Updates

20th of FebruaryHooper's grappling credentials got a shoutout from Sherdog this week when they broke down the UFC Houston prelims, calling him a deluxe grappling specialist while analyzing Jordan Leavitt's game. The recognition shows how respected his submission skills are across the lightweight division.
20th of FebruaryWith the Seattle card just weeks away, Hooper faces massive pressure to bounce back from that Hernandez knockout in front of his home crowd. The Dream needs to remind everyone why his ground game is elite and avoid another striking exchange disaster.

Chase Hooper is getting a homecoming fight in Seattle, and the UFC gave him a wild stylistic puzzle in Lance Gibson Jr. Hooper's been on a tear lately, submitting Clay Guida with a slick armbar at UFC 310, then grinding out a decision over the legendary Jim Miller. But then Alexander Hernandez knocked him out cold in the first round back in August, reminding everyone that Hooper's striking defense is still a work in progress. Gibson is stepping into the Octagon for the first time in over two decades, which is absolutely insane. His last UFC appearance was way back at UFC 29 in Tokyo, where Evan Tanner finished him with ground and pound. Here's the thing about Hooper.

Key Storylines

Hooper fighting at home after brutal Hernandez knockout
Gibson returning to UFC after 25 year absence
Submission wizard versus old school striker from different era

Finishing Window

If this hits the ground in the first round, expect Hooper to hunt for the finish immediately.

When he gets you to the mat, it's basically over. That D'Arce choke he locked up on Viacheslav Borshchev was nasty, and the rear naked choke against Jordan Leavitt took less than three minutes. The kid is a submission artist through and through, training out of Combat Sport & Fitness with that southpaw stance that sets up his grappling entries perfectly. Sherdog recently highlighted Hooper as a deluxe grappling specialist when breaking down Jordan Leavitt's recent matchup, showing that his ground game reputation extends well beyond his own fights. Gibson comes from the old school era and trains at his own gym in Canada, so we're talking about completely different generations of MMA here.

The big question is whether Gibson can keep this standing and make Hooper pay for his defensive holes. Hooper's been finished by strikes before, and if Gibson still has that timing from his knockout win over Jermaine Andre back in 2000, this could get interesting. But if Hooper drags this to the ground like he usually does, Gibson's going to be in deep water fast. The UFC Seattle lineup is nearly complete with 11 confirmed bouts, and this homecoming scrap for The Dream is officially locked in.

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Lance Gibson

Lance Gibson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (67%)

Losses (33%)

Lance Gibson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy0%

Grappling Efficiency0%

Cardio & Endurance0%

Fight IQ0%

Lance Gibson's recent form

Latest Updates

20th of FebruaryHooper's grappling credentials got a shoutout from Sherdog this week when they broke down the UFC Houston prelims, calling him a deluxe grappling specialist while analyzing Jordan Leavitt's game. The recognition shows how respected his submission skills are across the lightweight division.
20th of FebruaryWith the Seattle card just weeks away, Hooper faces massive pressure to bounce back from that Hernandez knockout in front of his home crowd. The Dream needs to remind everyone why his ground game is elite and avoid another striking exchange disaster.

Key Storylines