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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady
Nov 7, 2026• In 10 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Thomas Petersen 3.1 SLpM, Gabriel Lorenco 9.8 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Thomas Petersen 59%, Gabriel Lorenco 46%
  • Damage Avoidance: Thomas Petersen 2.6 abs/min, Gabriel Lorenco 3.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Thomas Petersen 43%, Gabriel Lorenco —
  • Takedown Defense: Thomas Petersen 87%, Gabriel Lorenco 100%
  • Submission Threat: Thomas Petersen 0.4 per 15m, Gabriel Lorenco —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Thomas Petersen
Gabriel Lorenco

Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenco AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenco

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Thomas Petersen
3-4UFC Record
Decision (64%)
Losses (36%)
Gabriel Lorenco
N/AN/A

N/A

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy59%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense87%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Takedown Defense100%

Last Opponents

Thomas Petersen
Gabriel Lorenco

An opponent switch has given Thomas Petersen a different problem for his next trip to Meta APEX in Las Vegas, with Gabriel Lorenco stepping in as the replacement. That is plenty to get fans talking, because Petersen is coming off a nasty reminder of how quickly things can turn on the floor. Valter Walker caught Petersen with a calf slicer in round 1 last time out, and that is the image hanging over this return. Petersen's recent wins came by majority decision and unanimous decision, so his recent results include both success over the distance and a sudden exit.

Key Storylines
  • An opponent switch gives Petersen a fresh puzzle to solve
  • Petersen returns after Walker's calf slicer cut his last appearance short
  • Southpaw meets orthodox, with Lorenco bringing the longer reach on paper
Finishing Window

Round 1 looks like the likeliest flashpoint, when the first committed entries expose straight punching lanes and rushed scrambles leave little time to fix a bad position.

Lorenco arrives with the longer reach and a fresh set of questions for a fighter trying to get back into the win column. Here is where it gets interesting: Petersen is a southpaw with a 74 inch reach, while Lorenco fights orthodox with 76 inches. The lead foot battle and straight punches could shape who gets comfortable, but reaching too far to close that gap can open the door to counters. If they tie up or hit the mat, clean positioning matters more than rushing through a scramble.

The big question is how Petersen handles a changed opponent while keeping his next exchange under control. Lorenco has his own job to do: turn that reach into useful space, because a measurement does not keep anyone off you by itself.

Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenco Stats Comparison

Age
31
•
27
Height
6'1" (185 cm)
•
6'2" (188 cm)
Weight
250 lbs (113 kg)
•
229 lbs (104 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
•
76" (193 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenco AI Analysis

Pace delta

+6.7 significant strikes/min

Gabriel Lorenco averages 9.8 significant strikes per minute while Thomas Petersen sits at 3.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Thomas Petersen and Gabriel Lorenco, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenco.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Petersen vs Lorenco odds

Live Polymarket odds for Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenco are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Petersen vs Lorenco

Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenco is on the UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady card on Nov 7, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Petersen vs Lorenco: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events