Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano

UFC Fight Night

Oct 31, 2026• In 42 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

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Tom Nolan

Record: 10-1-0

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Renato Moicano

Record: 21-7-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tom Nolan

Renato Moicano

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tom Nolan

Renato Moicano

Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tom Nolan

KO/TKO (17%)

Sub (17%)

Decision (51%)

Losses (14%)

Renato Moicano

KO/TKO (6%)

Sub (40%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (26%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense71%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency68%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Tom Nolan

Renato Moicano

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From opening bell, Tom Nolan can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Renato Moicano looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:5

Tom Nolan

Tom Nolan finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (17%)

Sub (17%)

Decision (51%)

Losses (14%)

Tom Nolan breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense71%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ80%

Tom Nolan's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Renato Moicano must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Renato Moicano owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (40%) but must solve the 71% sprawl from Tom Nolan.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Renato Moicano

Renato Moicano finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (6%)

Sub (40%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (26%)

Renato Moicano breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency68%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Renato Moicano's recent form

Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'3" (191 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.8 significant strikes/min

Tom Nolan averages 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Renato Moicano sits at 4.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tom Nolan and Renato Moicano, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nolan vs Moicano odds

Live Polymarket odds for Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Nolan vs Moicano

Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano is on the UFC Fight Night card on Oct 31, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nolan vs Moicano: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.