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UFC Fight Night: Qatar
Nov 21, 2026• In 51 daysDoha, Qatar
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Dan Hooker 4.8 SLpM, Brian Ortega 3.8 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Dan Hooker 48%, Brian Ortega 37%
  • Damage Avoidance: Dan Hooker 4.9 abs/min, Brian Ortega 6.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Dan Hooker 33%, Brian Ortega 25%
  • Takedown Defense: Dan Hooker 77%, Brian Ortega 54%
  • Submission Threat: Dan Hooker 0.6 per 15m, Brian Ortega 0.9 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Dan Hooker
Brian Ortega

Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Dan Hooker
14-11UFC Record
KO/TKO (35%)
Sub (10%)
Decision (25%)
Losses (31%)
Brian Ortega
8-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (28%)
Sub (37%)
Decision (9%)
Losses (26%)
No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense77%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense54%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Dan Hooker
Brian Ortega

Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega is a nasty meeting of two guys who badly need to change the conversation. Hooker has been stopped in his last three fights, while Ortega returns after consecutive decision losses and a long stretch away. That makes every exchange feel loaded before either man even throws a punch. Hooker's latest setback came against Salahdine Parnasse, who stopped him with a punch to the head at distance in round 1.

Key Storylines
  • Hooker's three straight stoppage losses make every early exchange feel loaded.
  • Ortega returns from a long absence with consecutive decision losses behind him.
  • Range against ground control puts every messy entry under the microscope.
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up in round 2, as early range finding gives way to committed entries and longer exchanges.

Before that, Benoit Saint Denis stopped him with punches to the head from mount, and Arman Tsarukyan caught him with an arm triangle from mount in round 2. Ortega lost unanimous decisions to Diego Lopes and Aljamain Sterling, but his arm triangle submission of Yair Rodriguez from side control in round 3 is the reminder that his ground game still deserves attention. Here's the thing: Hooker needs room to work, clean exits and a steady pace that does not turn every exchange into a scramble. Ortega needs to close that room without taking a free shot on the way in, then make the clinch and ground exchanges count.

The first serious battle for position could tell us much more than a few flashy punches. Both men have wins worth remembering, including Hooker's split decisions over Mateusz Gamrot and Jalin Turner. But in Doha, the real question is who can keep his game together when the fight stops being tidy.

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Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega Stats Comparison

Age
36
•
35
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
•
5'8" (173 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
•
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
75" (191 cm)
•
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Switch
•
Switch
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Dan Hooker averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Brian Ortega sits at 3.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Dan Hooker and Brian Ortega, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Hooker vs Ortega odds

Live Polymarket odds for Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Hooker vs Ortega

Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega is on the UFC Fight Night: Qatar card on Nov 21, 2026 at Doha, Qatar. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Hooker vs Ortega: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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